When you really dive in and see what’s going on, it becomes quite obvious that this will end in disaster for many investors.

Do you know why?

Because that’s what always happens.

So what?

Why is that our problem?

What does that have to do with investing and helping my family?

If you take maybe just 30 seconds to study history, you’ll find that most uptrends were not bubbles. They were just uptrends.

There were things that happened this month and even last year that have never happened in the market before. There were even some events that only occurred a few times in history.

So what?

Every month and every year we see the market do things that it’s never done before, or maybe has done very rarely.

If you really want to get into it, we see something happen every single day that rarely happens, if at all.

So what?

We can make a big to-do about it, if that’s your modus operandi. Remember it’s a lot of people’s job to sensationalize everything. Way more people than you think. And in many cases, the ones with the loudest mics. 

But that’s not our job. In fact, as investors, our job is the exact opposite. [Read more…]

The need to be right vs wanting to make money. Every trader has to solve this problem and it’s not easy.

On this week’s podcast I sit down with Dr. Andrew Menaker to talk about what he refers to as “Your Inner Market”.

You guys already know how much I love a good chat about investor psychology, so this was really fun for me.

I hope you enjoy! [Read more…]

There’s nothing wrong with betting on the next direction of a stock, or the market in general. But let’s be responsible about admitting that we’re wrong, when we get it wrong.

Regardless of your strategy, whether it’s technical, fundamental, economics or even if you base your analysis on the movements of the stars and the moons, it all comes down to risk management.

How good are you about admitting that you got it wrong and moving on? If you suck at it, then you’re not going to do very well and you’ll be gone soon. That’s economic Darwinism at it’s finest.

The ones who are the best at admitting they were incorrect in their assessment, and doing so the fastest, are the ones who make (and keep) the most money over time.

It’s really that simple.

How do you lose weight? Eat less and workout more. Duh.

But cupcakes and pizza are delicious.

Just like admitting we’re wrong is very difficult for us. It’s one of the hardest things for humans to do.

Just imagine if these permabears admitted 4 months ago that they got it wrong. Even just 4 months ago and they could have already turned in a huge return. It’s hilarious when you think about it. [Read more…]