JC, What do you mean rotation into the Dow Jones Industrial Average?

This is a bubble!

It can’t possibly be the beginning of the Dow’s move.

Wait, can it?

Well, despite all the hype about a bubble and the ridiculous rhetoric about a dislocation between wall street and main street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hasn’t really done much the past 10 weeks. It hasn’t made much progress at all, even if you include the past 2 weeks of gains. In fact, the last 2 weeks are all the gains since early June.

Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Transportation average has been the leader and broke out above those former June highs a while ago: [Read more…]

Traders often joke that there’s support at Zero. And then Crude Oil Futures traded negative and we threw everything we thought we knew out the window. Where was that in your model?

Anyway, this is the first thing that comes to mind when I think of the garbage that is, GE.

Next to Wells Fargo, this might be one of the worst companies on earth. It may actually be somehow worse. And by company, I don’t care what’s going on behind the scenes or who works there. I’m referring specifically to the stock, which is all that matters to us.

We’re looking at 2 plots, the price itself going back several decades, and the relative strength (or weakness, in this case), compared to the S&P500. Notice how after the peak in 2000, the next 2 peaks (where US Stocks moved on to new all-time highs), $GE put in lower highs. Also look at the relative strength line breaking to all-time lows: [Read more…]

The words “Support” and “Resistance” get thrown around a lot. In most cases, it’s stated as fact, “This level is resistance”, or “There is support at that price”. What is important to remember, however, is that these are only “Potential levels” of support and resistance. We may have evidence suggesting there could be overhead supply near a certain price, but we won’t know for sure until after the fact.

Today I want to talk about how many Indexes in the U.S. are approaching “Potential” Resistance.

Let’s take a step back and define what that actually means. Resistance is when there is an overwhelming amount of selling pressure vs buying pressure. There are more sellers, than buyers (or as the smart ass in the corner will mention, it could be one giant seller and not necessarily more of them, but I digress). Bottom line is, that Resistance is the price where there is more supply for an asset than there is demand for it.

The first obvious one is the S&P500 getting back to its February highs: [Read more…]

Healthcare stocks are breaking out to their highest levels in history. This isn’t something where we’re waiting for them to recover. We’re betting that this is actually just the beginning. Healthcare stocks are going a lot higher if the S&P500 is going to 4000. That’s the bet we’re making.

Here is the Healthcare Index Fund $XLV closing at back-to-back all-time highs the past 2 weeks. I think there’s another 14% if upside from here: [Read more…]