There she goes!
Apple just went out at new all-time highs relative to the S&P500.
I think about it like this: Should we expect Tech stocks to underperform if the biggest one of them all is making new all-time relative highs? [Read more…]
Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
by JC
There she goes!
Apple just went out at new all-time highs relative to the S&P500.
I think about it like this: Should we expect Tech stocks to underperform if the biggest one of them all is making new all-time relative highs? [Read more…]
by JC
When the worst stocks on the planet can’t go down any more, that’s usually good information.
We saw a lot of Small-cap Growth, Arkk Funds, Biotech, Chinese Internet and many of those other “Growthy” areas bottom out this Spring, and some of the last ones in June.
At the Mega-cap level, nothing caused more shareholder wealth destruction than Facebook, down 60% from its highs less than a year ago.
But look where prices stopped falling: [Read more…]
by JC
New Bull Market or just a Bear Market Rally?
That’s the question I keep seeing.
And it’s a fair one to ask.
Thanks to everyone who made it live last night for our Monthly Charts Strategy Session.
With a few breadth thrusts in recent weeks, and a little preview of what a weaker dollar could do to this market, we had plenty to talk about.
This question included: New Bull or Mean Reversion in a Bear?
I think the S&P500 tells an interesting story. You’ve got that massive top that formed throughout the past year, completing with a break of support this Spring.
And after further selling, the bounce has brought it back all the way to the neckline. These are the “trenches”: [Read more…]
by JC
This is the video recording of our August 1st Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
by JC
Did you see what just happened last month?
Financials went back and kissed the same prices they hit at their peak just before the Great Financial Crisis.
This is easily one of the most important price levels in stock market history. And I heard no one talking about it.
Meanwhile, the Home Construction Index did the exact same thing. In this case, even more special. The peak in Home Construction was when the fund launched, which is both classic and hilarious.
Here’s what these retests look like: [Read more…]
by JC
Last week I jumped on to Fox Business to talk markets with Charles.
He asked me about S&Ps, Russell2000 Small-caps, US 10yr Yield and Bitcoin.
It’s funny, I don’t think I’ve ever agreed this much with a TV anchor in my life.
His Technical Analysis was spot on.
So the setups are certainly there. But I think the catalysts are where we focus. And I believe that continues to be the Dollar and Rates.
Here’s the full clip:
by JC
Are you watching?
Look what stocks and Crypto do with just a little tiny bit of Dollar weakness.
In fact, US Dollar Index Futures are only down 3.0% off the highs.
And look how stocks have done since the Dollar stopped going up a couple of weeks ago: [Read more…]
by JC
This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.