From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
US Treasuries are sticking a bullish reversal – an admirable feat following an unforgettable selloff.
If you aren’t buying bonds yet, it’s time to reconsider.
International Hall of Famers (08-02-2024)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It’s got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
[Options Premium] Iron Condor Shopping, Part Deux
Volatility is blowing out for the second day in a row.
I’ll cut to the chase. This is a good time to sell defined-risk, delta-neutral options credit spreads.
We’re going to do it again today. [Read more…]
It’s Like A Brick Wall
The market hates it when bonds are making outsized moves.
It’s less about when rates are rising or when rates are falling.
The bigger point here is that when interest rates are making very aggressive directional moves, that’s what brings the volatility to the stock market.
And that’s exactly what’s happening: [Read more…]
Tech Stocks Doing Tech Bubble Things
We’ve been here before.
It’s been 24 years since we’ve been here.
But this is familiar territory
We saw historic underperformance from Technology stocks immediately after the sector reached the same levels it just reached last month.
Should we expect the same? In other words, should Tech keep underperforming, paving the way for other sectors like Financials, Industrials, Energy and Healthcare to outperform for a while?
Is that why the equally-weighted S&P500 just closed the month at new all-time highs? Because the largest weighting of the Market-cap weighted version is struggling to make any progress?
Here’s Technology relative to the S&P500 getting back to those former highs from early 2000: [Read more…]
[Premium] Monthly Charts Strategy Session August 2024
This is the video recording of our August 1st Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
[Options Premium] Iron Condor Shopping
VIX is near its highest level of the year and this is being reflected in options premiums nearly across the board.
It’s also earnings season, so we want to be careful not to get caught in any potential earnings-driven landmines.
With this in mind, I’ve got a big cap name that has already reported earnings, is trading in a range, and is still exhibiting elevated options premiums — the perfect recipe for a delta neutral options trade.
Japanese Yen: Update Your Priors
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Remember when anything priced in yen was trending higher?
It wasn’t too long ago that if you were looking for an uptrend, all you had to do was throw the yen in the denominator, and voila.
Just last month, the dollar hit a new 34-year high against the yen—levels not seen since the 1980s.
But the tables are turning in favor of the Japanese currency.
While most central banks are either cutting interest rates or considering future rate cuts, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is hiking—a policy shift that puts a bid beneath the yen…
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