The market is trying to push past the 4,000 level on the $SPX.
If we can manage to hold, there’s potential up to 4,039, then 4,050.
Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
by David
From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff
The market is trying to push past the 4,000 level on the $SPX.
If we can manage to hold, there’s potential up to 4,039, then 4,050.
[9/7: updated stop to 48. We’re already #FreeRiding here, so whatever we sell the remaining portion of the position for is pure profit!]
According to “the news,” Americans can’t afford to buy homes and rising mortgage costs will only deepen the problem.
Cool story, bro.
Do you know what disagrees? The price of virtually every publicly traded homebuilding company. We’re already long Lennar and Toll Brothers which continue to work for us.
Next up is KB Homes $KBH, which appears to be on the verge of a big breakout following a welcome response to its recent earnings report.
by Ian Culley
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Commercial hedgers are taking an interest in the Canadian dollar.
The CFTC has finally updated its records after the recent data breach.
And, as expected, we have some extreme positioning on our hands…
by JC
You’re seeing the permabears pointing to the Equally-weighted S&P500 falling down towards new 52-week lows relative to the Market-cap weighted version.
You can see what’s happening here: [Read more…]
by David
From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff
We’re seeing a decent-sized gap up this morning.
Now we have to see if the indices hold on to the gap or back and fill.
by Ian Culley
Fresh two-year highs for the Gold/SPX ratio stand out this week, as gold outperforms its alternatives. It doesn’t get much more bullish than fresh absolute and relative highs.
With that as our backdrop, I had Jason Perz @JasonP138 of Against All Odds Research on the show to share his view of the precious metals space. [Read more…]
If you’ve tuned in to either of my “Expiring Daily” Twitter spaces talks over the past two Mondays, you’ve heard me talking about a trading strategy I’m currently in the process of iterating that involves daily expiring options in the S&P 500 options complex ($SPY and $SPX options, specifically).
A thoughtful listener sent me an email with a bunch of questions about it, and I thought my answers to him might be enlightening to some of you who may be tinkering with strategy construction, particularly with short-dated, high-gamma options.
As I told the emailer, I can answer questions as of my thinking RIGHT NOW. But please know this is a work-in-process, and I’m continually tweaking my entry/exit/adjustment parameters as I learn more.
Here was our conversation: [Read more…]
by David
From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff
The market isn’t mustering up the power to trend higher just yet.
I’d like $SPY to hold 392 and hopefully break above 400 in time.