From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff
The Dollar’s Been Here Before
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
The calls for a dollar top are growing louder as analysts claim the advance is overextended.
They’re right. But pushing further into overbought territory is exactly what parabolic rallies do. And many of the technical tools supporting the thesis that the dollar is topping do not apply.
In practice, mean reversion tools such as oversold/overbought conditions, price exceeding the upper bounds of a Bollinger Band, or the percentage gain above the moving average du jour are best used in trendless markets.
Does the dollar look trendless? Absolutely not!
Don’t let these data points distract you. Let’s instead put the current DXY advance into perspective by focusing on historical price action.
Swing Trader Pro: Afternoon Briefing (09-27-2022)
This market can’t seem to get out of its own way.
The $SPY hit the 370 level, the $QQQ hit 379, and both reversed on a dime.
Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (09-27-2022)
From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff
Swing Trader Pro: Afternoon Briefing (09-26-2022)
This morning, it looked like the market could’ve trended higher.
I bought $SPY at 367.4 and it rallied to 370, a resistance level.
Follow the Flow (09-26-2022)
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual activity and pick the best setups using many of the same technical filters we do for our other scans.
And, just like that, we’ll follow the money flow and fatten our own pockets along with some of the world’s most powerful financial institutions.
The Minor Leaguers (09-26-2022)
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.
We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
This year, we expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.
To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
And it doesn’t have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.
The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players.
But, instead of all-time highs, we’re sorting by 52-week highs these days, as we don’t want to discriminate against energy or other cyclical stocks.
The goal is still to catch the strongest names while they’re small and have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb the ranks to the big leagues, the returns could be huge.
We’re looking at up to 10x moves just to break into large-cap land!
Let’s dive into this week’s report and see what’s happening in some of the hottest stocks in the Minor Leagues.
[Options Premium] Shorting the Consumer
Premiums remain elevated in the options market as volatility persists and confusion among market participants reigns supreme.
We sold a delta neutral spread on Friday to take advantage of this environment. Today’s trade will also be a credit spread, however, this time we will be taking on some bearish directional exposure to counterbalance some of our long exposure.
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