Here’s your chart of the day.
How can it not be?
It’s the answer to the question: “What’s it going to take for Bitcoin and Crypto to start doing well again?”
You see this inverse correlation? [Read more…]
Are We Entering Accumulation?
From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts
It’s fair to say I used to be a huge nerd.
In high school, I wasn’t into sports, drinking, or other normal teenage shenanigans.
As strange as it may seem, I was super passionate about technical analysis. I would use my English periods and lunch times learning fixated on what these charts meant, reading countless blogs, and spending hours learning what technical analysis was on Investopedia.
It’s hilarious looking back on it now, but I vividly remember my 16th birthday. I convinced my Dad to buy me a flight to Auckland, so I could go to an investing seminar held by a well-known Kiwi entrepreneur, Jamie Beaton.
What teenager wants tickets for an investing seminar for their 16th birthday?
One story you’ll hear often from technicians is that technical analysis opened up finance to them in an intuitive way. No longer were they basing their decisions on arbitrary discounted cash flow models or unreliable accounting figures.
Instead, they were following the only driver that moves markets — money flow.
As I’ve grown over the years, I’ve come to a similar conclusion.
The Short Report (07-27-2022)
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as “a market of stocks.”
Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.
We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.
The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too.
We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.
We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics.
Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.
Now, we’re also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.
Be Grateful for the Losses
From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts
There’s no denying the fact that it’s been a rough time being a crypto investor lately.
From our work, crypto market participants are closely approaching their maximum pain thresholds.
In real terms, losses realized on-chain reached their highest values going back to 2011. In nominal terms, Bitcoin holders realized the most amount of losses in USD terms in crypto’s entire history.
We’ve gone from 95% of all market participants holding unrealized profits to a measly 50% in the space of a few short quarters.
This is, by most measures, one of the most severe bear markets by loss realization, capital leaving the ecosystem, and contagion among even the largest and most sophisticated of players.
Despite this destruction of wealth, it’s important to be grateful for our losses.
Catching a Rebound in the Pound
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Anyone can enter a trade. It’s easy.
But before you step up to the line to place your bet, you must have a plan – a set of rules rooted in risk management to guide you through your trade.
There’s no way to enter and manage a trade if you don’t know where you’re right, where you’re wrong, and where you’re taking profits. Without a plan, your strategy and philosophical approach to the markets don’t matter.
That brings us to the British pound.
Diversify Yo Bonds!
Under the Hood (07-25-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.
Welcome to the latest edition of Under the Hood, where we’ll cover all the action for the week ended July 22, 2022. We publish this report bi-weekly and rotate it with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s a lot of overlap.
Follow the Flow (07-25-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual activity and pick the best setups using many of the same technical filters we do for our other scans.
And, just like that, we’ll follow the money flow and fatten our own pockets along with some of the world’s most powerful financial institutions.
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