This is the video recording of the July 2021 Conference Call.
The Minor Leaguers (07-19-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Welcome to our latest “Minor Leaguers” report.
We’ve already had some great trades come out of this small cap-focused column since we launched it late last year and started rotating it with our flagship bottoms-up scan, “Under The Hood.”
To make the cut for our Minor Leagues list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. There are also price and liquidity filters. Then, we simply sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players only.
The goal is to catch the strongest names while they’re small and still have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb the ranks to the big leagues, the returns could be huge. We’re looking at 5-10x moves just to break into large-cap land!
Let’s dive into this week’s report and see what’s happening in some of the hottest stocks in the Minor Leagues.
[Options Premium] Welcome back, Volatility
Traders woke up Monday morning to a little reminder that volatility happens.
It certainly wasn’t a calamity, but it was a larger gap down opening than we’ve seen in a while, following an ugly close on Friday which certainly has put some traders on edge.
When these types of conditions arise, we often see implied volatility priced into options rise to meet these increasing levels of fear. And today is no exception. On days like today, I like to peruse the list of active ETFs and see if any elevated implied volatilities are offering up a good income trade candidate.
The one that tops my list also has a nice risk management level we can lean against.
The Stock Market Peaked In February
Saturday Morning Chartoons: Seasonal Headwinds
This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.
Intermarket Insights: Relative Trend Review
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
One of the main themes we discussed in the Q3 Playbook we published last week is the lack of any directional bias for equities on a relative basis.
We’ve been obnoxious about the trendless environment for equities on an absolute basis… and now we’re noticing a lot of the same play out in many of the relative trends we monitor.
When there is no edge on absolute terms, we can at least try and generate alpha by taking advantage of relative trends through pair trades.
But, right now there’s really nothing out there giving us an opportunity to do so. This is about as rough of an environment for money managers as you’ll find.
All we see is sideways, sloppy, range-bound action… Standard year-two stuff!
To illustrate what we mean, let’s take a look at each large-cap sector SPDR relative to the S&P.
Charting the Second Half w/ Jay Woods, John Kosar & Grayson Roze
The good folks at Stockcharts.com put together a fun panel and asked each of us to bring 2 charts: Which one tells the story of the first half the best? And which chart am I watching most as we head into the second half?
I’ve been friends with Jay Woods for a long time and I’m now getting to know John Kosar’s work, and I can tell you these are some smart dudes. You want to listen to what these guys have to say.
Enjoy! [Read more…]
Commodities Weekly: Spring Wheat has Sprung
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Opportunities are springing up in the commodity space!
Yes, energy, base metals, and (especially) precious metals continue to consolidate below overhead supply.
But this doesn’t necessarily speak to weakness…
In fact, much of the sideways chop in commodities is taking place at logical levels of resistance. And aside from the dramatic sell-off in lumber, we see more upside resolutions than violations of critical support levels.
We recently pointed out that base metals managed to hang tough in the face of a significant correction in copper. And this week, tin is breaking out to new all-time highs.
OJ is also breaking loose this week after repeatedly testing the upper boundary of a multi-year base.
But this week, we’re going to focus on a breakout in a section of the commodity market that hasn’t received much attention lately: grains.
Since the explosive moves we witnessed in the spring, much of the grain market has quieted down. However, it’s impossible to ignore this big base breakout in Minneapolis Spring Wheat. [Read more…]
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