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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Short The Small-caps

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They say that you shouldn’t kick someone when they’re down. But in the markets, that’s actually the best time to kick them, when they’re already down.

We call that “Relative Weakness”. When we’re shorting stocks, those are the ones we’re looking for.

In the case of Small-caps, they’ve been a heads up of a problem in the stock market since almost 3 months ago. They suggested stocks would struggle and would go sideways, at best.

And that’s exactly what we’ve seen. Many stocks and sectors going sideways, and a bunch of them going down.

BUT, if we’re going to go from Bad to Worse, then Small-caps are most likely the ones getting hit the hardest. 

You can see in these breadth numbers that the internals in Small-caps have not been improving, they’ve actually been getting worse. [Read more…]

Filed Under: ASC

Can the Dollar Best the BRICS?

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

We’ve recently pointed out the possible double tops in the Dollar index and the USD/CAD, along with our overall outlook for further weakness from king dollar.

But can we find other areas of the market that could provide further insight into the US Dollar’s direction?

After all, many market participants are fixated on the direction of the US Dollar right now as it approaches its key mutlti-year lows.

Why does the Dollar matter so much to investors?

Firs of all, USD and risk assets have had a very strong negative correlation over the last several years. The USD Index bottomed in early 2018 as stock markets around the world peaked. Conversely, the dollar topped during the Covid sell-off when stocks bottomed out at their March 2020 lows.

To gain a clearer picture of the USD, we need to go beyond the Dollar Index and developed currencies.

Let’s look at a couple of charts of emerging currencies as they provide valuable information on broad USD performance, as well as risk-appetite around the world.

[Read more…]

The Minor Leaguers (05-24-2021)

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.

We’ve already had some great trades come out of this Small-Cap focused column since we launched it late last year and began rotating it with our flagship bottoms-up scan, “Under The Hood.“

To make the cut for our Minor Leagues list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. After applying price and liquidity filters, we simply sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players.

The goal is to catch the strongest names while they’re small and still have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb the ranks to the big leagues, the returns could be huge. We’re looking at 5-10x moves just to break into large-cap land!

And what better time than now to launch a small-cap-focused column? We’ve seen robust evidence of structural rotation down the market cap scale, suggesting a new period of outperformance from small-caps in the coming months and quarters… Maybe even years.

Minor Leaguers is a great way to take advantage of that trend.

Let’s dive in and check out this week’s list of the hottest stocks in the Minor Leagues.

[Read more…]

Commodities Weekly: Is Gold Ready to Shine Again?

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From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Gold has been one of the last places we have wanted to put our money over the past eight months, second only to Bonds.

Other areas of the commodities space, like Base Metals, Energy, and Ags, along with risk assets in general have experienced an explosive rally. While Precious Metals have gone nowhere. But are we starting to see signs that this could be changing?

Last week we pointed out that Lumber had reached our target and could be due for a pullback. And we’re seeing that play out.

The previous week we noted that other procyclical commodities within the Base Metals group were also reaching our targets and testing areas of potential resistance. And like Lumber and so many other risk-assets, they remain trapped below key levels of overhead supply.

So while much of these former leaders appear to be entering corrective periods, or sideways trends, we’re looking to put our money to work in areas that are trending… And one of those places within the commodities complex that has our attention is Gold and its shiny peers.

When we consider the recent outperformance from defensive areas within other asset classes, it would certainly make sense to see precious metals take the driver’s seat here.

In today’s post, we’re going to examine the following question: After a year of consolidation, is it finally time for Gold to shine? [Read more…]

[Options Premium] Cruising For Gains

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I’ll be honest with you. I’ve been on cruises before. I don’t think I have a need to ever do them again. I mean, the time spent “in port” was where the real fun for me was. Time trapped on the boat? Meh.

But, I know many people disagree with me and LOVE going on cruises.

I’m fine with that. Especially if it gives me an opportunity to make some money. And we’ve got one such opportunity on board!

[Read more…]

[Video] “Banks Are Walking Dead” | My Conversation w/ Howard Lindzon

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It’s always nice to sit down and talk about what the future is going to look like.

Currently, the largest hotel chain in the world doesn’t own any hotels (Airbnb). The largest taxi cab company in the world doesn’t own any taxi cabs (Uber).

Will the largest bank in the world not own any banks? Howard Lindzon says yes, “Banks aren’t dead, they’re walking dead”.

This was fun. I learned a lot.

It gives me more reason to keep an eye on opportunities in the Crypto Markets.

I’m a chart guy, as you’re all well aware. Price drives all of my decision making. But if you’re interested in what’s happening behind the scenes (I am), then this one is for you! [Read more…]

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