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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

[Chart Of The Week] Old Transports Vs New Transports

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

JC summed up our present view on US Equities perfectly during this week’s Conference Call:

“There are stocks we want to buy, and there are stocks we want to sell,” he told Premium Members on Monday night.

Some areas, particularly the secular leaders coming into the selloff, continue to trend aggressively higher while others refuse to participate in any meaningful upside.

A great example of this is illustrated by contrasting the chart of the Dow Jones Transports (DJT) to what we consider the “New Dow Theory” Average, the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX).

[Read more…]

Mystery Chart (05-19-2020)

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From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

[Read more…]

The Week In Review (05-15-2020)

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

For the week ended Friday, May 15, 2020:

Every weekend we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

This week’s main theme is that the strong continue to get stronger and vice versa, which we’ll highlight in our Industry and Sector ETF tables, below.

[Read more…]

The Helsinki Indicator

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Is the Helsinki 25 Index not on your radar? Well it probably should be. It’s hard to find a better gauge of risk appetite and risk aversion anywhere out there in the world.

Take a look at a chart of this rarely discussed index over the past half decade. Finland is where we want to be looking. In this case we’re comparing it to the Allstarcharts Global Top 10 Index where we are equally-weighting the 10 largest markets around the world. See any similarities? [Read more…]

[Options] Bonds Ready to Move?

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In March, the up move and subsequent retracement in Bonds was breathtaking and had the world’s attention.

In April, Bonds spent most of the month “normalizing,” at a newer, higher level.

Here in May, we’re starting to see signs that another move to the upside is materializing. Here’s a quote from JC in a recent email to All Star Chart subscribers:

If you’re looking for an uptrend, it’s in the bond market, NOT the stock market.

…the technical setup in Treasuries looks much better than it does for Stocks right now, over both long and short-term timeframes. TLT is trading just a few percent off all-time highs as price just broke above a confluence of resistance.

And here’s the chart of relative strength between $TLT and $SPY that adds further evidence of a resumption of trend for TLT: [Read more…]

An Inflection Point For Both Stocks And Bonds

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

This week’s Mystery Chart was a simple yet pivotal one… it was a ratio chart of Stocks vs Treasury Bonds.

With stocks struggling at resistance this week and Treasuries meandering beneath all-time highs, both appear to be at key inflection points.

Making things even more interesting is that the S&P 500 (SPY) relative to 20+ Year Treasury Bonds (TLT) ratio is also at a key level of interest. It is make-or-break time for these two asset classes so let’s dive in and see what’s going on.

[Read more…]

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