This is the video recording of the November 2019 Conference Call for Members of All Star Options [Read more…]
US Interest Rates Are In “No-Man’s Land”
Stocks are going up. Interest Rates are not.
This we know.
If you haven’t seen our thoughts on stocks lately, I encourage you to catch up here: November – October – September. Today, however, we’re more focused on the bond market and what we can learn from it.
First of all, here is the US 10-year Yield. If we’re below 2.07 then there is no reason to expect a severe bond sell-off. I guess it depends on what you consider severe, but bigger picture I don’t think there is any change in trend until we’re above that. And it’s not happening tomorrow. [Read more…]
Money Game Podcast: Stocks At New Highs & Bulls At New Lows (EP.11)
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In this episode of the Money Game Podcast Phil and I talk about the stock market making all-time highs while sentiment points to very few bulls. This is an interesting dynamic where the behavior of the market is pointing to one thing and the behavior and emotions of society are saying something different. I’ve been in the camp that this negative sentiment unwind is precisely the catalyst to take stocks much higher, not just in the U.S. but around the world. It’s very rare to have stocks this strong, yet so few people betting on higher stock prices. It’s pretty awesome. We also talk about the deterioration, or at least an end to the expansion we’re seeing, in the upside participation in stocks. We’re seeing MORE stocks, sectors and global indexes participating to the upside, not fewer. Until that stops, we want to keep looking for stocks to buy.
[Read more…]
[Premium] Some Quality Time With Bonds
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
In late August we took a simplified look at the Bond market and discussed the potential for mean reversion lower (Rates higher), but that the market remained choppy and we should adhere to strict risk management to avoid getting run over on the short side.
Choppiness continued, but Bonds have sold off a bit.
So what now? Let’s take a comprehensive look at Bonds and how we’re approaching them into year-end.
[Options Premium] Casey at the Bat
There are bullish setups all over the place. My friend Aaron couldn’t have said it better:
<—– drowning in setups
— Aaron (@ATMcharts) November 4, 2019
I agree. Lots to play on the upside. That said, lets not get crazy here. We still need to put ourselves in some high probability situations and not bet the farm on any one trade. So let’s take a look at a good opportunity in that vein. [Read more…]
Video: My Presentation At Trade Ideas Summit 2019
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
On October 26th I had the privilege of speaking at the Trade Ideas 2019 Summit in San Diego. It was a great opportunity to share our views, but more importantly, meet a ton of new people from all walks of life and hear their different perspectives. I had an absolute blast.
Last year JC presented at the same conference, outlining our very bearish thesis for Equities. This year my tone was the exact opposite!
I only had thirty minutes, but I ran through nearly 100 slides of Equities, Commodities, and Interest Rates, outlining our bull case for Equities.
The full video is available below and you can email info@allstarcharts.com if you’d like the full slide deck. Hope you enjoy!
The Higher Stocks Go, The More Angry They Get!
Going through charts this weekend, there are a few things that stood out.
First of all, the biggest company in the world is on pace to easily double in value in 2019. How do you think things are going around here? My bet is pretty darn good: [Read more…]
All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 12: Robert Sluymer, Managing Director at Fundstrat Global Advisors
Robert Sluymer has been a Technical Analyst for close to 3 decades. I really enjoy his intermarket, global macro perspective and the way he brings it all together in a similar way to what we do at our shop. It was hard for me to really disagree with anything Rob said during this podcast episode. It seems to me like him and I are on the same page on many levels. I didn’t make it easy on him, but he certainly brought the goods. I really enjoyed this episode from someone who brings 27 years of institutional experience at RBC and is now at an independent shop at Fundstrat. We discussed Bitcoin, the S&P500, Sector Rotation, Bonds and Precious Metals. This was a good one! Give it a listen [Read more…]
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