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Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

[Options] Portfolio Insurance

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When the storm is upon us, it’s too late to purchase hurricane insurance. Nobody will sell it to you. Of if they will, the prices will be obscene.

Last Monday, when the VIX printed a 65 — it was too late to buy downside protection. If you did, you were asking for your face to be ripped off. And it likely was.

Now that the dust has settled a bit, volatility has abated significantly, and the relative winners and loses sorted themselves out, we’re seeing some good setups to position ourselves for any additional downside action.

Additionally, it offers me a good chance to balance out some of the risks I still have on the books in my long positions.

On today’s Flow Show, me at Steve Strazza talked about a good setup in Advanced Micro Devices $AMD that fits our needs.

[Read more…]

The Dust Has Settled. What’s Next for Bonds?

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From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Here’s what happened last week…

A few bad actors used open profits from highly leveraged positions to purchase other assets.

When those highly leveraged positions turned against them – ripping their faces off – margin calls went unanswered, leading to a lack of liquidity.

Bonds ripped, stocks dipped, and credit spreads blew out. 

Now that the dust is settling, let’s review a few takeaways from last week’s volatility and consider what may lie ahead.

[Read more…]

Bonds Rallying? Buy Real Estate (08-10-2024)

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Have you heard about the rally in the bond market?

After a severe multi-year drawdown, bonds have carved out a massive basing pattern and are putting the finishing touches on a primary trend reversal.

More importantly, interest rate-sensitive stocks are following suit and rallying higher as rates come down.

The sector with the highest correlation to bonds, Real Estate, is also putting the finishing touches on a bearish-to-bullish reversal.

With the market under pressure in recent weeks, Real Estate’s relative strength and resilience stands out in a big way.

This once left-for-dead group of stocks is now the sector leader over the trailing month and quarter.

The only responsible thing for us to do is dive beneath the surface and find the strongest individual names to use as vehicles to play this trend.

[Read more…]

Palantir Hits 3-year Highs

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I love it when a group of people dislike a stock for reasons that have nothing to do with the stock itself.

In some cases it’s because they don’t like the CEO, or they don’t like the politics of the players involved, or they think the stock is some kind of fraud.

In the case of Palantir, you’re getting all 3 of these.

We love it when a stock hitting new 52-week highs makes people sad.

That built-in short-squeeze scenario is just added fuel to the fire to send stocks much higher, much faster.

Here is PLTR hitting new multi-year highs this week: [Read more…]

The Dumbest Crash Ever

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I was in the city this week hanging out with my pals Josh Brown, Michael Batnick and Joe Fahmy.

For some perspective, 10 years ago in March of 2014, the 4 of us went out one night to support some other friends of ours at a charity event. I met my future wife that night. 

These 3 guys mean a lot to me. But don’t let my love for them fool you. When they say something dumb, I’m going to call them out on it!

Check out the full podcast episode that just dropped last night on The Compound & Friends.  [Read more…]

Filed Under: ASC

The Hall of Famers (08-09-2024)

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as ServiceNow, Palantir, and MercadoLibre.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

[Read more…]

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