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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Precious Metals Continue Their Downtrends

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One thing I feel has gotten lost in the whole “Stocks and Bitcoin make all-time highs every day” rhetoric is the overwhelming weakness in precious metals. Gold, Silver, Platinum and Gold Mining stocks are all making new lows, resuming their trend of lower lows and lower highs.

We’ve been aggressively bearish Gold, Gold Mining Stocks and anything precious metals really since October. Based on what we’ve seen since then, I see no reason to change our approach towards this market. To the contrary, I think the selling we’ve seen come in confirmed everything we had been seeing in September – a bunch of people getting caught long in a bull trap. It was classic.  [Read more…]

[Chart Of The Week] Financials Making New Highs Is Not Bearish

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We look to Financials as a leader. We’ve never had a bull market in US Stocks without participation from the banks. They don’t necessarily need to be leading but they do need to participate. When we see the S&P Financials Index going out at new 10-year weekly closing highs, it’s hard to be bearish stocks as an asset class. This has been a big part of the aggressively bullish case I’ve been making since the summer of 2016. Meanwhile, the Broker Dealers Index is holding above its former all-time highs from 2007 and just beginning a new leg higher.

These are not bearish characteristics for stocks as an asset class. [Read more…]

[Premium] Members-Only Conference Call Wednesday December 13th at 7PM ET

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Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.

We’ve been bullish towards US and Global Stocks as they remain in strong uptrends on any sort of intermediate-term time horizon. I still think this is an environment where we need to be buying weakness in stocks, not selling strength. The weight of the evidence is still pointing to an increased amount of risk appetite, not risk aversion. We will go over a multi-timeframe approach on this conference call where we will start with the longer-term and then work our way down to more short-term to intermediate-term investing ideas. This will also include other assets like the US Dollar, Euro, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Interest Rates.

I’ll do my best to lay out my weight of the evidence conclusions and walk you step by step with how I got there! This month’s Conference Call will be held on Wednesday December 13th at 7PM ET. Here are the Registration Details: [Read more…]

[Premium] Dow Jones Transportation Stocks Are Breaking Out!

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There is a lot to be said for taking the time to analyze all of the stocks in an index. I find that process to be much more rewarding than obsessing over every 50 basis point move in the index itself. I’ve written in the past about how I think the Dow Jones Industrial Average is underrated. You can go through all 500 stocks in the S&P500 or just 30 of them in the DJIA and you’ll get a quick snapshot of the health of the market. If there are more good ones than bad ones, it’s probably not a downtrend in the index. If there are more bad stocks than good ones, it’s likely the index will follow them lower as well.

Today I want to go through this process, but with the Dow Jones Transportation Average. You can go through them all yourself here. I did a deep dive analysis on Transportation Stocks in general when they were near their lows in August. The Dow Jones Transportation Average is up over 1000 points, or about 10% since then. So a lot of the stocks we liked have done really well. But I would say that during this process, a lot more stocks in the Index have improved or have broken out of massive bases. That’s all I see when I go through the entire Workbook of the Dow Jones Transportation Average: massive bases everywhere.

Here are a few of the ones that stand out: [Read more…]

Podcast Season 1 – Ep 13 – James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research

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James Bianco is someone who has definitely influenced my work throughout my career. If you’ve ever watched one of my presentations, you know I could rip through 150 charts in an hour without a problem. I’m pretty sure I got in this habit watching James Bianco. Also, his multiple timeframe approach to Interest Rates and Intermarket Analysis is something I have a lot of respect for. In this conversation we discuss Bitcoin, of course, Rates, Sentiment, old market indicators that are no longer useful and what the spread between Copper and Gold could be signaling for the market moving forward. This was a real treat for me to have someone I’ve looked up to for a long time and pick his brain about his process. I hope you enjoy this as much as I did! [Read more…]

[Premium] Sectors Are Rotating Before Our Very Eyes

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Sector rotation is the lifeblood of every bull market. When one sector reaches a temporary peak, another one takes over the charge while the former leaders consolidate. We have seen this happen throughout the past 2 years in a very consistent way. Today we’re taking a look at all of the individual sectors and the industry groups within them to find the areas of strength and weakness moving forward.  [Read more…]

[Premium] Fresh Monthly Candlesticks!

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The best hour I spend each month is going over my Monthly Candlestick Charts. I can’t understand how some people don’t do it. Think about it: 12 hours of your life per year. Imagine all the things you do throughout the year that takes you 12 hours and probably does you more harm than good.

If you forget everything I ever tell you, please just remember not to ignore the monthly candlesticks. It doesn’t matter if you’re a short-term trader or longer-term investor or anything in between. Getting longer-term perspective and identifying the direction of the primary trend is the most important thing we do. Once that has been determined, then we can incorporate multiple timeframes to break it down to our time horizon of choice, whether it’s more intermediate or short-term.

Since November is now in the books, it’s that time of the month to rip through a ton of Monthly Candlestick charts. Here’s what I’m seeing out there:

[Read more…]

This Is How I Use Moving Averages

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I get asked a lot about moving averages. Many people think they are this incredible indicator that will lead to riches. Unfortunately, they’re the furthest thing from that. These are just invisible lines that people like to paint different colors to exaggerate their meaning. There are all different kinds of moving averages: some are shorter-term, some are longer-term, some give more weight to recent prices while others are equally weighted. I like to say that if you have enough moving averages on your screen, one of them will work!

Today I’d like to share with you in simple terms how I use them: [Read more…]

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