This is the video recording of our April 3rd Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
Bonds Break Out: Here’s What It Means…
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Bonds are taking a breather as stocks recover.
Bond market volatility is cooling off as the banking collapses and the March Fed meeting fade from the front page.
And it appears the volatility has left big unresolved bases in US Treasuries in its wake…
March Mid-Month Conference Call: 5 Key Takeaways
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Monday night we held our March Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each
Let’s get right into it!
It’s Time To Get Bonds Back into the Fold
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
The Federal Reserve handed down a 25-basis-point rate increase on Wednesday.
And Fed Chair Jerome Powell implied an impending pause in the hiking cycle.
You know what this means…
It’s time to buy the four “Bs” – Bonds, Bitcoin, Big-Tech, and Bullion.
JC and Strazza talked about it on Pardon the Price Action earlier this week.
Today, I’ll highlight bonds with a couple key levels to trade against as we add these assets to our portfolios.
[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording March 2023
This is the video recording of the March 2023 Mid-month Conference Call.
Volatility Rocks the Bond Market
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Markets have been on the ropes since late last week when a Silicon Valley Bank press release sparked a run on regional banks.
As Wall Street scrambles to reprice the financial sector — for what, up until last week, were unforeseen risks — selling pressure and panic is spreading to Europe and other parts of the world.
Regulators are taking action. And the Fed is taking notice as expectations for future rate hikes plummet.
While Bitcoin and tech stocks have performed exceptionally well through the volatility, cyclical stocks and commodities have been hit hard, with energy and the CRB Index breaking to new lows this week.
What are we to make of all this? Should we be concerned?
Is the regional banking crisis a contained event, or is it about to send reverberations through the broader market and economy?
Whenever we have questions like these, the first place we want to look is the bond market.
Any signs of stress tend to show up there first.
[Video] What the FICC?: US Banks Take a Beating
It’s the weekly bond edition of What the FICC?
The Silicon Valley Bank $SIVB collapse dominates the week’s headlines.
While risks appear isolated for now, unlike in 2008, the next chart reveals a storm brewing beneath the surface…
Here’s Why Banks Are Breaking
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
US bank stocks big and small took a beating Thursday, with the Bank ETF $KBE posting its largest single-day decline since 2020.
The steep sell-off came on the heels of Silicon Valley Bank’s $SIVB Wednesday announcement of a $1.8B loss, mainly due to accepting unrealized losses in US Treasuries.
Based on SIVB’s acute exposure to the tech industry, you can argue larger banks with more diversified portfolios and clients don’t carry the same risk. And they don’t.
Regardless, the next chart reveals a storm brewing beneath the surface…
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