This is the video recording of our November 1st Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
2s10s Spread Retests Zero
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
It’s beginning to feel an awful lot like 2022.
Rates and the dollar are on pause, bonds can’t stop falling, and the major equity indexes are violating critical support levels.
But the 2s10s spread raised serious questions this week as it hit fresh 52-week highs.
So, is the market environment changing?
Let’s find out…
October Mid-Month Conference Call: 5 Key Takeaways
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Monday night we held our September Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.
Let’s get right into it!
Yields Cut a Path for Energy Stocks
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Investors navigate a market of stocks, not a “stock market.”
Equity indexes slide, and US treasuries collapse against a rapid rise in interest rates. Unfortunately for the bulls, the charts show no signs of an imminent change in these underlying trends.
That’s the environment, and there’s no use fighting it.
Have no fear: We can still lean into market areas that enjoy a rising rate environment, mainly energy.
Gold: Failed Breakdown or Hard Retest?
Gold has leaned sideways to lower lately.
The US dollar and interest rates continue to rise, creating unfavorable conditions for the yellow metal and its crazy cousin, silver.
As long as those trends remain intact, precious metals will struggle. And they have… until very recently.
Regardless of the broader intermarket landscape, I can’t ignore near-term strength for these shiny rocks…
[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording October 2023
This is the video recording of the October 2023 Mid-month Conference Call.
Stocks Grapple With Bond Market Volatility
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Borrowing costs are increasing, and US Treasuries are tanking – again.
Everyone knows it. Even my therapist commented on interest rates and the “terrible” economy.
The 30-year T-bond has hit our initial target. And the 10-year is within striking distance.
So much for limited downside risk for the bond market. Perhaps the call for a 5.25 print on the 10-year yield by Christmas wasn’t aggressive at all.
But elevated yields aren’t the problem…
A Potential Target For Yields
From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
Rising rates have been a worldwide phenomenon for the last two and a half years as yields have climbed non-stop.
Not only are we seeing the curve in the US reach decade-long highs, but the benchmark yields in Germany, France, Spain, and even Japan are also trading at multi-year highs.
Below is the US 10-year Yield reaching its highest level since 2007 after breaking out of a multi-month base three weeks ago.
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