Todd Sohn is one of my favorite guys to talk to about the markets. He often sends me charts that no one else is looking at and points out important data that most people aren’t talking about. His unique perspective on the market definitely makes him stand out from the rest. Todd and his team at Strategas do great work and it’s a real pleasure to have him on the podcast. In this conversation we discuss the current environment for US Stocks, Interest Rates, Precious Metals and the sentiment driving current trends. He offers good advice for both new technicians and seasoned veterans. If you’re at all interested in the market, this is an episode you can’t miss. Enjoy! [Read more…]
[Premium] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording August 2019
This is the video recording of the August 2019 Conference Call.
Rotation Within Financials Ahead?
Tuesday’s Mystery Chart received mixed responses, with some people buying this dip and others waiting to short a breakdown.
Now, let’s look at the chart and its related theme. [Read more…]
Post-FOMC Charts
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Wednesday morning I outlined the charts we were watching ahead of the Fed Decision and what we would need to see before getting out of the way and reevaluating our bullish Equities and US Interest Rates thesis.
Today I want to look at those same charts and note what’s changed and how we’re moving forward.
Pre-FOMC Charts To Watch
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Today will be a “big” day for markets as the Federal Reserve will announce their decision on the new target Federal Funds Rate.
Currently, markets are pricing in a roughly 80% chance of a 25bp cut and a 20% chance of a 50bp cut. This means market participants have assigned 0% odds to rates remaining where they are after today’s meeting.
We’ve been pretty clear over the last few months about where we stand regarding the different asset classes, so there’s not much left to do other than wait and see how prices settle by the end of the week.
With that said, here are a few charts we’re watching through Friday’s close.
[Premium] India Q3 2019 Playbook (Part 1)
Today we’re updating our outlook for global markets and providing ideas to profit in the second half of 2019.
Part 1 of this playbook will provide our perspective on all four asset classes and update our views on the major themes within India that we’re paying attention to.
Part 2 of this playbook will consist of our top individual stock trade ideas.
A “Pause-itive” Development
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
The good news is the S&P 500 and several other large-cap US indexes are back at all-time highs, however, the bad news is there remains a lack of confirmation from breadth and momentum readings around the world.
Needless to say, it was easier to be buying stocks last month than it is today, but let’s avoid getting into the weeds and simply look at the number of markets around the world above their 2018 highs.
The Trend Is Not Our Friend
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
The trend is your friend…but what do we do if there is no trend?
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