This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.
Are We Losing the Leaders?
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Equities continue to get hit. And yesterday, commodity-related stocks were not immune to the selling pressure.
Energy, metals, and natural resources, in general, all sold off into the close. The inflation, interest rate, and commodity trade had a really rough week.
It’s never a good thing when the leaders get hit like this. At the same time, two days really doesn’t make a trend.
Before we get sucked into calling peak inflation, let’s zoom out and put all this near-term volatility into the right context.
When we do, it reconnects our eye with the underlying trend – which is unequivocally higher. It also becomes clear that many of these stocks are finding resistance at logical levels – areas where we would expect these stocks to digest gains.
And that’s exactly what they’re doing!
Let’s take a look! [Read more…]
The Hall of Famers (04-22-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
April Conference Call: 5 Key Takeaways
Monday night we held our April Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.
Let’s get right into it!
Bullish Information From Bonds
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
A couple weeks ago we pointed out that the stock market was questioning the rise in rates.
Defensive areas we would expect to underperform in the current environment such as utilities and REITs are actually outperforming.
And the names we would expect to do well – specifically banks – can’t seem to catch a bid on either absolute or relative terms.
This is concerning from a broader intermarket perspective. But it’s not the complete story.
While our stock market ratios are not supportive of higher rates, when we look within the bond market, we’re seeing the opposite.
Not only is there a synchronized global rally in interest rates, but the intermarket evidence from our bond market ratios supports this action and indicates a healthy degree of risk appetite.
Today we’re going to highlight one of those bond market ratios – high-yield vs. investment-grade debt.
Let’s take a look. [Read more…]
[Premium] Q2 2022 Playbook
This is our ASC Research Q2 2022 Playbook.
- Stocks (International & U.S.)
- U.S. Sectors & Industries
- Market Breadth & Sentiment
- Commodities
- Currencies
- Intermarket Analysis
- Cryptocurrencies
- New Trade Ideas
- Overall Strategy
The Evolution of Crypto’s Infamous Liquidation Cascade
From the desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts
If you’ve ever been deep in the trenches slinging cryptocurrencies, chances are you’re well aware of the infamous liquidation cascade.
For some traders, the thought will send shivers down their backs.
To others, it represents one of the most profitable asymmetries in supply and demand.
What’s a Liquidation Cascade?
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is the largest and most sophisticated derivatives exchange for several traditional financial instruments and Bitcoin futures contracts. But there are stringent rules bounding these contracts:
- Each contract is 5 BTC (currently just over $200,000).
- The market is only open Monday through Friday.
- Clients tend to have a good relationship with a broker that’s allowed to trade on the CME.
These rules are essentially a risk-mitigation strategy.
In the case of liquidations, if the account reaches negative equity before the liquidation is finished, the trader is liable for the negative amount.
Further, failure to pay this would result in a bankruptcy proceeding, which the broker has to cover if that isn’t paid.
The Short Report (04-20-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as a market of stocks.
Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.
We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions… but there are always stocks that are going up.
The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too.
We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club. We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics.
Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports. Now, we’re also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.
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