This is the video recording of the October 2021 Conference Call.
Breaking Down the US Dollar Index
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Interest rates, inflation expectations, and commodities are all on the rise.
But as these pieces of the intermarket puzzle fall into place, it’s hard to make sense of the strength in the US Dollar Index $DXY. That’s also been on the rise recently.
Even other areas of the currency market don’t quite fit with the action we see in the USD. We pointed out the absence of risk-off behavior in a post last week where we highlighted the broad weakness in the yen as well as AUD/JPY making new multi-month highs.
So what’s going on with the US Dollar Index?
Let’s look under the hood at some individual USD pairs and their trends across multiple timeframes to see what the weight of the evidence is currently suggesting.
Stocks Won’t Collapse If This Happens
Follow The Flow (10-18-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow The Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients. Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades. What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind… and they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual activity and pick the best setups using many of the same technical filters we do for our other scans. And just like that, we’ll follow the money flow and fatten our own pockets along with some of the world’s most powerful financial institutions.
Mystery Chart (10-18-2021)
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza
*** Click here to read the reveal post for this Mystery Chart ***
Check out our latest Mystery Chart!
What we do here is take a chart that’s captured our attention, and remove the x and y-axes as well as any other labels that could help identify it.
This chart can be of any security, in any asset class, on any timeframe. Sometimes it’s an absolute price chart, other times it’s on a relative basis.
It might be a ratio, a custom index, or maybe the price is inverted. It could be all three!
The point is, when we aren’t able to recognize what’s in front of us, we put aside any biases we may have and scrutinize the price behavior objectively.
While you can try to guess the chart, the point is to make a decision…
So, let us know what it is… Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?
Under The Hood (10-18-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.
Welcome back to our latest “Under The Hood” column, where we’ll cover all the action for the week ended October 15, 2021. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our “Minor Leaguers” column.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them. 
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Watch this video for a “behind the scenes” look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s a lot of overlap.
[Premium] Details For October 2021 Conference Call
These are the registration details for our live conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.
This month’s Conference Call will be held on Tuesday October 19th at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
Here are the details for Tuesday night: [Read more…]
This Week’s Watchlist: Asset Shortage
There is more money being allocated to risk assets than there are risk assets to feed that demand.
It’s not about the Fed, or the Trump or the COVID.
Prices go up when there’s more demand than supply for assets. And that’s what we see.
Here’s exhibit A. Crude Oil is making new 7-year highs.
And why do you think that is happening? Is it because there’s more supply of oil than there is demand for it? Or is it because there is more demand than supply? [Read more…]
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