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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 3: “Riley The Intern”

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This is a podcast about Technical Analysis and its practitioners. I think we’ve done a good job of bringing in some of the top technicians in the business, and in some cases, some of the best that ever did it. My goal when I first started this was to talk to people who bring different perspectives on the subject and on the markets in general. We’ve had Portfolio Managers, Analysts, Traders, Authors and Psychologists come on regularly over the past few years. Today I am thrilled to invite Riley Rosenberger to the podcast to get his point of view on Technical Analysis and what it feels like to start a career as a trader. Riley interned for us last year after spending some time training with SMB Capital in New York City. “Riley The Intern”, as he’s known in some circles, brings a unique perspective that we haven’t heard on this podcast before. When he first decided that he wanted to learn about trading, his High School teacher in Colorado told him to think about doing something else. She said he didn’t have the pedigree for that. I love that he ignored her and I love even more that every time I see him, he has a new book in his hand. He’s always learning and constantly goes out of his way to get ahead. I appreciate that and I really think you’ll enjoy this conversation. I certainly did! [Read more…]

The Energy Conundrum

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From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

We’ve been watching some of the Energy ETFs we track most of this year for potential mean-reversion opportunities on the long side.

We recently discussed for our Institutional Clients an opportunity in the Small-Cap Energy ETF (PSCE), which rallied 17.50% from its 2018 lows before reversing back to those levels again.

The main issue in Energy remains that there appears to be an attractive mean reversion opportunity at the ETF level, but when we drill down into individual stocks there aren’t many clean setups…making it difficult to identify what the main drivers of this move higher would be.

Let’s take a look.

[Read more…]

[Chart of The Week] A Small But Mighty Pattern In Small-Caps

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From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

JC and I are generally on the same page about a lot of things, but this week our brains seem to be very in sync as we’re writing about the same topics with a slightly different spin on each subject.

Yesterday JC spoke about how US Equities can do just fine, actually really well, during periods of Small-Cap underperformance.

Today I want to take a more granular look at the Russell 2000 and see what its recent price action has in common with the Euro Stoxx 50. [Read more…]

Stocks Can Do Great With Small-Caps Underperforming

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With U.S. Large-cap Indexes breaking out to new all-time highs, many are wondering when, and if, the Small-caps are ever going to catch up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P500 and Nasdaq100 have all taken out former highs and are currently in uncharted territory. The Mid-caps, Small-caps and Micro-caps, however, are still all well below their 2018 highs.

While we like to pride ourselves in looking at more charts per week than almost anyone on earth, I get a lot of value from regularly speaking to clients and colleagues. Tuesday was one of those days that I found myself on the phone speaking with people around the world. One theme that came up multiple times was the underperformance in Small-cap stocks throughout the late 90s. It’s something we’ve seen before. U.S. Large-cap stocks can do very very well even with small-caps underperforming, like they have since last year. [Read more…]

Mystery Chart 07-23-2019

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From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

[Read more…]

Will Bank Stocks Join The Party?

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Financials are a big focus of ours right now. We can make a strong case that this is the most important sector in America. Traditionally, Industrials are the most positively correlated with the S&P500 and Technology is the largest sector by market cap. But we don’t have bull markets without bank stocks. That’s the way this works. [Read more…]

Money Game Podcast: The Availability Heuristic (EP.8)

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In this episode of The Money Game, Phil and I talk about the Availability Heuristic and why we are more likely to invest in certain types of companies depending on where we live. This is a really interesting phenomenon that makes a lot of sense. I’m lucky that I get to avoid this bias more than others simply because of the process I use to perform my analysis. It’s a solution to a problem I didn’t even know I had! This is a short one that I think is worth a listen just to learn a little bit more about yourself. [Read more…]

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