We’ve all heard about “Dr. Copper’s” ability to gauge global economic growth. What is not discussed as much is that Copper is very highly correlated with Emerging Market stocks, not so much developed markets. With Copper right now setting up for a potentially outsized move, the implications of its direction will likely impact stocks throughout the emerging markets space. [Read more…]
All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 1: James Brodie, Athena Financial Solutions
James Brodie started out auditing for Arthur Andersen and did not particularly enjoy it. In the early 1990s he started to learn about derivatives at the largest bank in the world before ultimately moving to Credit Suisse. He’s lived in London, Singapore, New York and Tokyo trading currencies for both the banks and proprietary and then started his own hedge fund. James is also on the Board of the CMT Association. I really enjoyed the advice he gives about what he learned from 2 massive losses he’s taken throughout his career. James is a big fan of behavioral finance and we talk about different studies where we’ve learned that the better traders actually have more losing trades than winning trades. Currently James is watching Gold, EURJPY and US Interest Rates and talks about how he wants to trade them. This was a fun conversation where we covered a lot of things. [Read more…]
Video: Fibonacci and the Dow
I can’t think of a better time to talk about Fibonacci Extensions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average right now is fighting to break through an important cluster of extensions that stem from the last two epic peaks we had in the market: 2000 and 2007. A breakout above 27,000 could spark a new cyclical bull market that we believe falls within the context of an ongoing structural bull market. In other words, this is a more intermediate-term breakout (years) while structurally (decades) we have already been in a bull market since arguably 2013 or even 2016.
In this video I talk about 2 key extensions: 261.8% and 423.6% which is exactly where the Dow stopped going up in early 2018. Was 17 months enough time at these levels before we can move on? Let’s discuss: [Read more…]
[Chart(s) of The Week] Small and Mid-Caps Set To Rip
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
We’ve been bearish the Micro/Small/Mid-Caps relative to Large and Mega-Caps from a structural perspective for most of the last year, however, last week’s rally confirmed the conditions we look to indicate potential outperformance in the coming weeks and months.
New Monthly Charts Are Published!
Monthly charts force us to take a step back and identify the direction of the primary trend. By erring in the direction of these trends, we are increasing our probabilities of success. Markets trend. That’s why Technical Analysis works. This process at the end of each month is arguably the most valuable part of all the work I do. I can tell you that from the bottom of my heart.
One that definitely stands out here is the Dow Jones Industrial Average going out at new all-time monthly closing highs. This is the highest monthly close in the history of the stock market: [Read more…]
Video: My Advice For New Investors
One question that I get a lot comes from new investors, “Hey JC, I’m starting to get into the market for the first time, any advice?”
For me, I’m convinced you have to get kicked in the stomach, at least once, but likely even more than that, to finally understand the importance of Risk Management. But if you can somehow figure out a way to just take my word for it, and eliminate your emotionally driven decisions completely, I believe it puts you way ahead of 99% of market participants around the world. [Read more…]
We’re A Technical Analyst 2019 Awards Winner!
For over a decade I’ve been following the annual Technical Analyst Awards each year when they come out. I get excited when my friends are finalists and even award winners.
I am incredibly proud to announce that Allstarcharts Research is the 2019 Winner for Best Fixed Income Research!
Our work was also chosen as a Finalist in 3 other categories:
- Best Equity Research
- Best Multi-Asset Research
- Technical Analyst of the Year
[Chart of The Week] Another Failed Attempt
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
We just sent out the Top 10 Charts of The Week Report that goes out to our Institutional Clients every Wednesday morning, and while I may be biased, I really enjoyed putting together week’s edition.
We discussed a few market themes as we typically do and then identified several actionable trade ideas on both the weekly and daily timeframes.
With that said, I wanted to share one chart and its caption because I think they sum up the current market environment pretty well.
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