This is the video recording of the October 2021 Conference Call.
Gold: Don’t Call It A Comeback!
Those angry little gold buggers are finally starting to put some points on the board.
The lack of participation in Gold since last Spring has been something to witness. Every commodity on earth has skyrocketed, except for gold and other precious metals.
My argument is that maybe it’s behaved that way because it’s not a commodity. Maybe it’s more of a currency, something I’ve always argued.
Right or wrong, call it whatever you want, it has done poorly since last summer of 2020.
And with the Dollar as strong as it’s been, Gold has really taken a beating.
But not lately….
Can we call it a comeback?
You see, with new highs in the US Dollar this month, Gold did NOT make new lows. That bullish divergence is the first sign of life we’ve seen out of this thing for a while.
Here we’re looking at the US Dollar (inverted) using the $UDN ETF to help visualize it. And below that is the price of Gold, NOT making lower lows: [Read more…]
[Premium] Q4 2021 Playbook
This is our ASC Research Q4 2021 Playbook.
- Stocks (International & U.S.)
- U.S. Sectors & Industries
- Market Breadth & Sentiment
- Commodities
- Currencies
- Intermarket Analysis
- Crypto Currencies
- New Trade Ideas
- Overall Strategy
The Bulls Are Scoring More Points
One thing unique about the market is that the game is never over. There aren’t four 15-min quarters or two 20-min halves like in sports.
In those endeavors there is a beginning and an end.
You know who won (or who tied in some cases). But the match is over, and there will be another one in a few days or a few months, depending on the sport.
In the market, it never ends. This can cause issues psychologically, so it’s something we should all be aware of and keep in mind.
But if you ask me, currently the bulls are scoring a lot more points. This is the first time we’ve seen that since Q1 this year, when the bears started running up the score.
Look at the S&P500 break out to new all-time highs relative to US Treasury Bonds. [Read more…]
[Podcast] The Evolution Of Becoming A Technician w/ Brian G @alphacharts
On this episode of the podcast, Steve Strazza and I sit down with Brian G, who many of you will recognize as @AlphaCharts on Twitter.
I’ve been following Brian for many years and love a lot of the work he puts out. It was really fun hearing his story about how he became a technician.
It isn’t something that happens overnight, that’s for sure. It’s a process.
First we get into the evolution of become a Technical Analyst, and then we dive into what we’re doing about it in the current environment.
Hope you enjoy!
[Premium] Monthly Charts Strategy Session October 2021
This is the video recording of our October 4, 2021 Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
Seasonal Weakness Is Almost Over
RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-16-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for various asset classes and categories, along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We consider this our weekly state of the union address, as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes and discuss the most important themes and developments currently playing out in markets all around the world.
In our RPP Report from the end of August, we discussed how the weakest areas were registering failed breakdowns and digging in at support.
In our most recent report, we focused on how the strongest areas were making fresh record highs. Things were looking up for the bulls… but that changed once again.
We’ve talked about how it’s been a back and forth battle with neither buyers nor sellers making any material progress for months now. And that’s exactly what we’re continuing to see, as bears have regained control again, pushing the major indexes lower for five straight sessions coming into this week.
For this reason, we thought a mid-week edition of the RPP would be appropriate to give us time to see what kind of follow-through would occur following the recent selloff.
In this week’s report, we’re going to talk about this near-term weakness but also some positive developments, like the healthy expansion in participation for ex-US equities in recent weeks and months.
I’m working with a broken hand these days, so we’re also going to try and let the charts do most of the talking. Don’t worry, there are plenty out there that have something to say. Let’s look at some now.
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