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Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Things Are Getting “Real”

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Remember when they told you Gold was a hedge against inflation?

It wasn’t.

Remember when they told you Gold was a safe haven asset?

It wasn’t.

Remember all those times the Gold bugs made up fairy tales about future price appreciation for their rocks?

It never happened.

And so here we are. Well over a decade later, Gold prices are actually still down 6% from their 2011 highs. Silver is somehow still down over 50% from those highs.

Think about the opportunity cost of owning precious metals instead of pretty much anything else.

So. Is this time different?

Is this the time for Gold to finally shine? [Read more…]

[Premium India] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording November 2022

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This is the recording from the live November 2022 Conference Call for Members of the Allstarcharts India! Before getting into individual stock ideas in India, we’re going to first start with the global macro perspective. Once we identify the direction of the underlying trends from a structural and broader view, then we’ll dive into the NIFTY Indexes on both longer-term and short-term timeframes. We want to look at Large-caps, Small-caps, and everything in between before getting into the Sector and Industries themselves like Energy, Banks, and Pharma.

This is when we finally break things down to the individual stock scenario with identified risk vs reward opportunities. That is what this is all about – aligning ourselves in the direction of the underlying trend while at the same time identifying where the risk is to make sure the potential reward is skewed exponentially in our favor. You will find that throughout this process we discuss Momentum, Fibonacci and Relative Strength. I encourage you to check out the Education Section so you know exactly where I’m coming from when you hear me mention these tools.

Here is the video in full:

[Read more…]

[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording November 2022

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This is the video recording of the November 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The most Bullish Time of the Year
  • The most Bullish Time of the 4-year Presidential Cycle
  • US Dollar vs Stocks Negative Correlation Continues
  • Mexican Peso & VIX Relationship
  • Euro & British Pound at Key Resistance Levels
  • Stocks rallying with stronger GBP
  • Fewer stocks making new lows, but waiting for expansion in new highs
  • Sentiment for risk assets remains pessimistic
  • What Year 3 in Bull Markets Looks Like
  • Risk Management Charts: NYSE Comp & Value Line Index
  • Relative Strength in SMIDs
  • Energy – Still Waiting For A Breakout
  • List of Strongest Energy Stocks to Buy
  • What the end of the Energy run looks like – Crude Oil Key Levels
  • Healthcare Stocks Continue to Lead – Which Ones to Own Now
  • Insurance Stocks Lead Financials Higher – List of Buys
  • Broker Dealers showing Relative Strength
  • Most Important Chart on Earth: XLF & ITB
  • CAT & DE are not defensive trades
  • Real Yields Falling Could Spark Gold Rally
  • Gold & Silver Stocks Setting Up Buys
  • Global Equities: Rotation into Emerging Markets
  • Tech Stocks To Buy Today
  • Discretionary Stocks Breaking Out
  • Package Food Companies Making New Highs
  • Bitcoin – What’s It Going To Take for New Bull

[Read more…]

No Stress in Credit

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The bond market is the biggest and baddest market of them all.

All these crypto currencies can go to zero and no one who matters will care.

The entire pot industry can disappear tomorrow and it won’t matter.

Small-cap stocks aren’t relevant, from a systemic perspective.

Do you know what matters? The bond market.

And if there’s real stress out there in financial markets, you are going to see it show up in bonds.

It’s just math.

But a funny thing happened in Q2 this year. High Yield Credit spreads began to tighten.

If there was real stress, you would be seeing them widening.

In this chart below we’re looking at lower lows in the S&P500 but higher lows in the ratio between Junk Bonds and US Treasury Bonds: [Read more…]

[Video] Mornings With Maria on Fox Business: We’re Buying Stocks

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Friday morning I was in the city chopping it up with Maria Bartiromo.

She was surprised at what I had to say.

But I think she was intrigued.

Also, huge shoutout to Fox Business on their 15th Anniversary. It’s been amazing to watch them continue to dominate financial TV.

Congrats all around.

Check out the full clip from Friday morning:

[Read more…]

[Premium] Monthly Charts Strategy Session October 2022

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This is the recording from the September 2022 Conference Call for Members of the Allstarcharts India! Before getting into individual stock ideas in India, we’re going to first start with the global macro perspective. Once we identify the direction of the underlying trends from a structural and broader view, then we’ll dive into the NIFTY Indexes on both longer-term and short-term timeframe. We want to look at Large-caps, Small-caps and everything in between before getting into the Sector and Industries themselves like Energy, Banks and Pharma.

This is when we finally break things down to the individual stock scenario with identified risk vs reward opportunities. That is what this is all about – aligning ourselves in the direction of the underlying trend while at the same time identifying where the risk is to make sure the potential reward is skewed exponentially in our favor. You will find that throughout this process we discuss Momentum, Fibonacci and Relative Strength. I encourage you to check out the Education Section so you know exactly where I’m coming from when you hear me mention these tools.

Here is the video in full:

[Read more…]

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