The math has been simple.
When the Dollar is doing well, stocks don’t.
And when the Dollar is weakening, stocks are strong.
It’s been made very clear to us all.
The US Dollar is the enforcer: [Read more…]
Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
by JC
The math has been simple.
When the Dollar is doing well, stocks don’t.
And when the Dollar is weakening, stocks are strong.
It’s been made very clear to us all.
The US Dollar is the enforcer: [Read more…]
This is the recording from the live September 2022 Conference Call for Members of the Allstarcharts India! Before getting into individual stock ideas in India, we’re going to first start with the global macro perspective. Once we identify the direction of the underlying trends from a structural and broader view, then we’ll dive into the NIFTY Indexes on both longer-term and short-term timeframes. We want to look at Large-caps, Small-caps, and everything in between before getting into the Sector and Industries themselves like Energy, Banks, and Pharma.
This is when we finally break things down to the individual stock scenario with identified risk vs reward opportunities. That is what this is all about – aligning ourselves in the direction of the underlying trend while at the same time identifying where the risk is to make sure the potential reward is skewed exponentially in our favor. You will find that throughout this process we discuss Momentum, Fibonacci and Relative Strength. I encourage you to check out the Education Section so you know exactly where I’m coming from when you hear me mention these tools.
Here is the video in full:
by JC
This is the video recording of the September 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.
We discussed:
by JC
You’ve heard me say it a million times by now.
It’s going to be really difficult to make money long most stocks or crypto the rest of the year if the US Dollar remains strong.
Check out last night’s video about what we’re doing about it.
We got just a little bit of Dollar weakness starting in mid-July and stocks ripped higher. Thousands of points added to the Dow, Ethereum doubled and the average stock on the Nasdaq rallied over 40%.
We saw one of the most historic short-squeezes in history. And all it took was just a little bit of Dollar weakness. It wasn’t even that much.
But then once that Dollar strength came back last month, the bid in stocks and crypto disappeared.
Here’s a zoomed out look at the negative correlation between stocks and the Dollar: [Read more…]
by JC
This is the video recording of our September 6th Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
by JC
by JC
There’s one major catalyst that can be a wrecking ball in a potential bull market for stocks.
What’s going to stop a year-end rally?
I think if there’s anything that can stop it, it’s further strength in the US Dollar.
This summer, the markets have only reiterated the negative correlation between stocks and the US Dollar.
A little bit of dollar weakness over the past 6 weeks, or lack of progress to be more accurate, sparked a rally in stocks and crypto assets.
But as Dollar strength came back recently, the pressure on stocks and crypto has returned.
So let’s take a closer look. [Read more…]
by JC
The market has set the stage.
From a seasonal perspective, the back half of the year should be strong.
When you consider the bearish sentiment readings we’re coming off of this summer, a massive shift in sentiment into year end makes perfect sense.
We’ve seen the breadth improvement, as we get more and more stocks making new short-term highs, and now sector rotation has started to kick in.
SO WHAT’S THE CATALYST? [Read more…]