This is the video recording of the May 2021 Conference Call.
Cash & Champagne
What do you want from me?
Do you want me to tell you that it’s just all rainbows and butterflies?
Is that why you come here?
Or is it because you know I don’t give a shit, and I’m just going to give it to you straight every time?
So here’s the deal.
We had a heck of a run. That was one of the best 1-year returns of all time.
What more do you want?
Give it a rest. Let Year 2 play out and see if it’s like all those others. So far it’s exactly like them.
We’ve seen a ton of relative strength out of the Value areas of the market: Financials, Natural Resources, Industrials…
Those are the areas where we’ve wanted to be as money has rotated out of Growth.
But now our upside objectives are getting hit all over the place. We laid all that out 2 weeks ago in great detail.
And now the Dow Jones Transportation Average was down this week, for the first time since January. The consecutive streak officially ends at 14 weeks of gains. [Read more…]
[Podcast] Fixed Income, Commodities & Currencies | My Conversation w/ Paul Ciana, CMT Bank of America Merrill Lynch
This is a fun one. I got to sit down with Paul Ciana to talk about all things Fixed Income, Commodities and Currencies. Paul is now the Chief Global FICC Technical Strategist and Director of Research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. But in the early days, him and I used to study for our CMTs together back in 2006.
What’s nice about this is that in his current position, and for 10 years at Bloomberg prior to his 5 years at BofA, he’s had the opportunity to speak to many of the largest portfolio managers in the world. I want to know what he’s learned from all those conversations!
Paul always gives great perspective and as you know, the macro view carries a big weighting throughout our process. So this episode really hit home.
I took advantage and just hit him with all my favorite questions and topics in the FICC world. And he just chuckled and happily answered most of them.
This was great! I hope you enjoy this as much as I did!
May Strategy Session: 3 Key Takeaways
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley.
We held our May Monthly Strategy Session Monday night which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
For these calls, we really take a step back and put things in the context of their structural trends by focusing only on Monthly charts. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises.
In this post, we’ll provide a summary of the call by highlighting three of the most important charts and topics we covered along with commentary on each.
DeFi & Technical Analysis | My Conversation w/ Jim Bianco, CMT
The DeFi Revolution is upon us, at least according to Jim Bianco. For many years, I’ve looked up to Jim and the work he’s been doing at Bianco Research and, in fact, he’s the one who first inspired me to rip through hundreds of charts during my live presentations in order to get my points across. It took me about a decade to realize it, but it was him who I got that from.
Fast forward to 2021, and the Macro Technician who I’ve always admired has turned into one of the leading voices of what’s taking place in DeFi, or “Decentralized Finance”. Who better to talk to about what’s going on than Jim himself? Ethereum, Bitcoin, Dogecoin, Yield Farming, Metamask Wallets, Coinbase….the whole thing.
We dive right into it and talk about how investors of all kinds can take advantage of this revolution into a decentralized world. Traders, Investors, Financial Advisors and even their clients….what does everyone do about this?
We do our best to answer those questions in this podcast episode. I personally really really enjoyed this chat. I hope you do too!
Click here to watch the Video of our conversation on Youtube.
[Premium] Monthly Charts Strategy Session May 2021
This is the video recording of our May 3, 2021 Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
Bearish or Bullish: Is This Time Different?
On this week’s episode of Bearish or Bullish, we talk about Year 2 of Bull Market cycles for stocks. Is this one those? Like 1976, like 1983, like 2004, like 2010?
What about Ethereum continuing to hold its breakout? Why is Ether doing so much better than Bitcoin?
Financials and European stocks breaking out of historic bases?
European Super Leagues? The Knicks don’t suck?….what the heck is going on around here?
Let’s discuss: [Read more…]
RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (04-26-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
The weight of the evidence still suggests it’s prudent to be a buyer, not a seller, of risk assets for more meaningful time horizons.
Shorter-term, the market looks increasingly messy. For the first time in over a year, defensive assets are beginning to stabilize at logical levels of support, while stocks and major risk groups achieve our upside targets. Even a handful of some key Intermarket ratios are potentially diverging from the broader averages.
The macro backdrop definitely leans that this is just a sideways consolidation in an ongoing uptrend.
Let’s not forget that the S&P 500 has just recorded its greatest 52-week gain since the late 1940s, so some digestion is perfectly healthy and deserved!
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