Click here to sign up for our free “Chart of the Week”

All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

The Most Important “Index” In The World

by

When we do our market analysis, we go through a ton of different indexes all over the world.

But specifically within the U.S. you have things like the S&P500, Russell2000, Nasdaq100 and of course the Dow Jones Industrial & Transportation Averages. These are just a few of the most popular ones.

You can go on and on with the Value Line Indexes, Wilshire 5000, NYSE Composite and the list goes on and on.

They all serve a purpose in our analysis and all represent the market in different ways, whether it be using market capitalization, broadness of measurements and even specific sector exposure.

But you know one that doesn’t get the credit it deserves? [Read more…]

Filed Under: ASC

Mixed Messages From Market Internals

by

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge

Last year was all about bullish breadth thrusts.

The percentage of new highs and other internal indicators spiked to historic extremes in 2020, indicating that we were in the early innings of a new bull cycle.

But 2021 has been a very different environment, characterized by corrective price action and lackluster market internals. Believe it or not, this is completely normal during year two of a bull market.

Sideways and choppy price behavior has been the theme this year. We haven’t come close to the high-water marks achieved by our breadth indicators last year, so, naturally, there are divergences. 

Indeed, these breadth divergences are to be expected. Market internals tend to peak early in a cycle. What bulls don’t want to see is a meaningful downside expansion in breadth.

During the recent selling pressure, we experienced some of the highest readings in new lows since the COVID crash.

So the question we’re asking now is simply “was that it?” Are the bears getting ready to take control? Was this a bearish initiation thrust or a “fall day,” as our friend Mike Hurley likes to call it?

The answer is “we don’t know yet.”

Let’s talk about why that is.

[Read more…]

Breadth Thrusts & Bread Crusts: For Your 2022 Outlook, Take Price Over Projections

by

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

It’s that time of year again — a time when our inboxes are overflowing with reflections on the year that was and speculations on the year that will be. 

We used to wait until the year ended before recapping its events and previewing what lies ahead. But these annual outlooks have been showing up earlier and earlier in recent years. In fact, I think I saw my first 2022 outlook piece before the calendar flipped to December…

I read my fair share of outlook pieces and would not go so far as to say they are all useless. I prefer those that identify a few broad themes for consideration over those filled with detailed forecasts and a veneer of precision. After all, we should recognize the limits in the usefulness of even the best prediction pieces.

[Read more…]

Will the Metaverse Catch Down to the Internet?

by

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Cryptocurrencies are just more stocks.

In the stock market, we have software, internet, homebuilders, and gold miners. The powers at be do their best to classify all the publicly listed companies into industry groups. This allows us to break them into various baskets and analyze them at the index level.

In crypto markets, there are tokens focused on decentralized finance, the metaverse, smart contracts, and more. But unlike the stock market, the crypto asset class is still in its infancy. As such, there is no industry standard for how to group these different tokens based on what they do.

In our analysis, we’ll often discuss what some of these tokens do. We use some indexes that are offered from data providers, as well as create custom indexes of our own as we see fit.

The reason we do this is for information. Aggregating tokens into groups and analyzing them as a whole allows us to glean insights about the strength or weakness of different areas of the crypto market.

One such group that’s stood out as a leader all year is multimedia and gaming tokens. These are the cryptocurrencies that are fueling the rise of the metaverse.

[Read more…]

Recent Posts

Tag Cloud

$AAPL $CL_F $DIA $DX_F $EEM $FXE $GC_F $GLD $IWM $ng_f $QQQ $si_F $SLV $SPX $SPY $TLT $tran $UUP $XLB $XLE $XLF $XLI $XLP $XLU $XLV $XLY djia es_f eurusd ewz fxi fxy gdx HG_f iyt kre mdy rut tnx ung usdjpy uso xlk zb_f zn_f
Real Time Analytics