Here’s a chart of each sector’s performance since the start of this bull market – exactly one year ago! [Read more…]
Psychotherapist: Is the bear market rally in the room with us right now?
Emerging Market Currencies Hit New 52-Week Highs
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Markets are bracing for tomorrow’s FOMC decision – including the dollar.
That’s right – we have more indecisive action on tap. Let’s call it the knee-jerk before the knee-jerk, with a little help from today’s May CPI print.
Interest rates, the US Dollar Index $DXY, and gold have yet to make a decisive directional move.
To be fair, most markets are trading within their respective year-to-date ranges (except the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, of course).
But if we turn to emerging market currencies, we don’t see any sign of hesitation…
Under the Hood (06-12-2023)
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.
Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we’ll cover all the action for the week ended June 9, 2023. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
Under the Hood is a value-add for investors of all kinds, as we can express our views through a variety of different types of stocks.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s a lot of overlap.
Follow the Flow (06-12-2023)
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual activity and pick the best setups using many of the same technical filters we do for our other scans.
And, just like that, we’ll follow the money flow and fatten our own pockets along with some of the world’s most powerful financial institutions.
Palladium Prints Fresh Four-Year Lows
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Gold can’t do all the heavy lifting.
I believe a generational rally for gold has already begun. But my structural outlook hinges on the former 2011 peak.
Gold must hold above that former high, marking the end of the previous secular bull run.
It’s held this level so far.
But if gold has any chance of printing new all-time highs as it has versus most major global currencies, it needs a little help from its friends…
SPY Joins New 52-week High List
STLD Shores Up the Commodity Correction
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Commodities are caught in correction mode.
Copper has undercut former support. Crude oil is trading below its former cycle peak. And grain markets can’t catch a bid.
It’s not the most bullish behavior. But remember, price doesn’t travel in a straight line.
On the bright side, most commodity contracts have stopped going down.
And the future will only become brighter for commodity and stock market bulls if buyers continue to bid up this next stock…
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