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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Bull Market Two-Year Anniversary

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Next week marks the 2-year anniversary of this Bull Market for stocks.

As we’ve mentioned many times, the S&P500 didn’t bottom out until October of 2022. But it was already a bull market at that point.

The bottom for the prior bear market was in June of 2022. That’s when the majority of stocks bottomed.

By the time the S&P500 hit its final low in October, there weren’t many stocks at all left going down. Most of them had already been making higher lows and higher highs.

Coming into this year, we made our list of the most important groups of stocks that were already exceeding the prior cycle’s highs.

The thought process was that if these groups were above their late 2021-early 2022 highs, then any correction in stocks, whether through time or through price, would be just that – only a correction, but within the context of an ongoing bull market.

We called them our “Fab 5”. [Read more…]

The Minor Leaguers (06-03-2024)

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn’t have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players.

The goal is to catch the strongest names while they’re small and have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb the ranks to the big leagues, the returns could be huge.

We’re looking at up to 10x moves just to break into large-cap land!

Let’s dive into this week’s report and see what’s happening in some of the hottest stocks in the Minor Leagues.

[Read more…]

Junior Hall of Famers (06-03-2024)

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn’t be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That’s good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We want as many vehicles and options to express our bullish thesis as possible. This is a good way to do just that.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

[Read more…]

Gold Rush: Updated Trade Levels

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From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

This week, I’m cutting straight to our trade ideas.

I’ve made a table of more than 30 setups, the majority of them trending toward our targets.

And I’ll also update a few trade ideas with new entry levels and additional upside objectives.

Let’s dive in!

[Read more…]

[Options] The Other Side of the Coin

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[Note: We entered this trade on June 4th following the entry trigger. Details below]

On today’s Flow Show, Steve Strazza brought the heat.

It appears Bitcoin is about to start another leg higher. It’s showing all the signs: A tightening consolidation on the verge of an upside resolution. And with the 100,000 level on the watch list of every professional and amateur market speculator, it’s hard to believe that the next bullish breakout does not include a run to and through this highly watched level.

In the meantime, we equities options traders still have limited vehicle choices available to us to participate in this move. We’ve long used Microstrategy $MSTR as a Bitcoin proxy. But our feeling is that if Bitcoin makes the move everyone is waiting for, we will see the entire crypto space go with it, and that will be great news for a stock like Coinbase $COIN.

Here’s where the charts of Bitcoin and $COIN stand now: [Read more…]

There Will Be Winners

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When you look at Consumer Discretionary stocks as a group, you think “Wow this is the worst sector on the planet”.

How can there be any winners coming out of here?

But there are. And there always will be.

First, look at the sector itself relative to the S&P500 going out last month at the lowest levels in over 10 years. [Read more…]

Freshly Squeezed (5/28/2024)

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Despite some messy action from the broader market in recent months, risk appetite remains elevated.

How do we know?

The stocks that investors are betting against the most are making big moves… to the upside.

And we know just what to do in these environments.

We look to our freshly squeezed universe and find the most heavily shorted stocks. We wait for momentum to come into these names, and we ride them higher while the shorts get squeezed.

We got new short data recently, so let’s talk about how we’re playing it.

[Read more…]

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