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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

How To Find the Trade

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Last night was my favorite thing that we do around here.

We had our LIVE Monthly Charts Strategy Session for Premium Members of ASC.

This hour-long, 150-chart Monthly ritual allows us to take a step back, zoom out, and identify the most important primary trends across markets.

There is nothing we do here that adds as much value to my process than preparing for this call.

Premium Members can watch the replay here and download all the slides.

If you’re not a Premium Member yet, you can fix that here quickly.

The bottom line is this:

Markets are a mess. They’ve been a mess. And this year is very different than last year.

Look at the Equally-weighted S&P500 and Nasdaq100.

While these are certainly good overall gauges for the health of the US Stock market, always, in this particular environment they are even more representative of what’s going on out there.

These indexes look an awful lot like many other stocks and indexes across the market. [Read more…]

The Short Report (05-01-2024)

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as “a market of stocks.”

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we’re also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

[Read more…]

The Dollar-Yen: Today’s FOMC Wild Card

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From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The Japanese government isn’t playing games.

Currency crisis or not, Tokyo is willing to defend the yen in the open market. It’s proven this multiple times over the past three years, and today’s FOMC-related volatility will likely test its resolve. 

Considering previous yen-buying interventions, the dollar, interest rates, and the dollar-yen pair could be headed lower in the coming months.

[Read more…]

Technology: Still The Worst Sector

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I know I’ve already said it a lot over the past few months, but for those people in the back who may not be able to hear so well…

THIS YEAR IS NOT ANYTHING LIKE LAST YEAR.

The strategies that worked so well throughout 2023 are not the ones working this year.

Last year’s leaders are some of the worst stocks in 2024.

The leaders in 2024, in many cases, were some of the worst sectors in 2023.

It’s not bad or good. Better or worse. It’s just different.

The better you get at adapting to the current environment, the fewer headaches you’re going to have.

I’m 42 years old. I’ve been doing this for over 2 decades.

I have 3 kids.

Do you think I need more headaches at this point in my life? Or fewer?

And so that’s why we’ve adapted our strategies to the current market, instead of trying to go to the beach in the winter, or wear a raincoat on a beautiful sunny day, like many investors like to do because they haven’t bothered to check the weather.

So speaking of checking the weather… [Read more…]

Up Every Month This Year

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The month isn’t over yet but I peaked.

How many assets can you think of that have been positive every single month this year?

Where do you find the most consistent leadership?

Is it in Technology?

No. Tech is down over 4.5% the past 2 months.

Is it Consumer Discretionary?

Nope. It’s down 2 months in a row, falling almost 3%.

The answer is the US Dollar and Crude Oil Futures.

As we enter the final day of April, these 2 assets have been positive every month so far in 2024. [Read more…]

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