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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Trade of the Decade

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The most profitable part of a new market regime is how long it takes most investors to come around to it.

Humans are creatures of habit.

It’s not easy to just shift an entire mindset, especially one that was over a decade in the making.

“I’m a Growth Investor”

“There is no reason to invest outside the United States”

“Stocks & Bonds. What are Commodities?”

“Why would I invest in Gold, when I can own more Tech?”

“The government will never let Crude Oil get to $200”

These are all things people say and actually believe.

It’s taken a long time for people to convince themselves of these.

But over the years, I’ve learned (the hard way) that there is a time and a place for everything.

The bet we’re making is that people will continue to believe all those things mentioned above, until it’s too late. [Read more…]

The Hall of Famers (04-05-2024)

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Airbnb and Uber.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

[Read more…]

April Strategy Session: 3 Key Takeaways

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We held our April Monthly Strategy Session earlier this week. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.

Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.

By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.

With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.

[Read more…]

Commodities > Stocks > Bonds

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How I learned it more than a couple of decades ago was that there were 3 asset classes: Stocks, Bonds AND Commodities.

But a funny thing happened throughout the 2010s. Commodities did so poorly, particularly when you compare their performance to Stocks and Bonds, that investors completely forgot that Commodities were an asset class.

Many newer investors never even knew in the first place.

But yes folks, there are 3 asset classes. And that 3rd one that everyone conveniently forgot about is the one that is dominating returns this cycle.

Here is a ratio of Commodities to Bonds in a strong uptrend as everyone keeps telling me that interest rates are falling.

It’s actually the exact opposite. Interest rates keep going up, as Commodities rip higher and bonds keep falling apart.

You’re going to tell me this isn’t an uptrend? [Read more…]

You See? This is NOT 2023’s Bull Market

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Everything started to change in February.

We were right here talking about it.

You saw the major shift in March for sure. It was obvious to everyone.

But the cracks actually started to show up in early February.

In fact, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq100 are still at the same levels they were in early February.

The Russell2000 and S&P600 Small-cap Indexes are both still below their December highs.

Apple just hit the lowest levels since October, making this one of the best bearish positions we put on this year, outside of the $LULU trade.

Both of these have worked out very well.

And I think there are more of these epic downtrends coming. [Read more…]

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