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Look At The Dow Jones Averages As A Group

October 19, 2019 by JC

One week it’s the Dow Jones Utility Average pulling the weight. This week it was the Dow Jones Transportation Average up over 2% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was basically flat. It’s always one of them, which is why the Dow Jones Composite Average, the combination of all of them, continues to hold up so well. Remember the DJ Composite has 65 stocks, 30 from the DJIA, 20 from the DJTA and 15 from the DJU. The Dow Jones Composite Average went out at new all-time monthly closing highs just a few weeks back. Our bet is that this uptrend continues.

Here is a weekly chart of the Dow Jones Composite. These are the types of charts we want to be buying, not selling: [Read more…]

[Premium] Details For October 2019 Conference Call

October 19, 2019 by JC

These are the registration details for the monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts. In this call we will discuss the global market environment and how to profit from it. As always, this will include Stocks, Interest Rates, Commodities and Currencies. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.

This month’s Conference Call will be held on Tuesday October 22th at 7PM ET. Here are the details for the call: [Read more…]

A Big Move Is Finally Coming In The US Dollar

October 18, 2019 by JC

It’s been a while since we talked about the Dollar. The truth is, this trade has really been a Nothing-Burger all year. G-10 currencies have been a snooze-fest until just recently. I have good friends who specialize in this space and they’re bored. That’s not good for their business, but I have a suspicion that things are changing.

Let’s get right into it. Here is the US Dollar Index breaking down on a weekly timeframe and unable to hold its previous highs. This sort of thing reminds me a lot of early October 2018 for US Stocks. From failed moves come fast moves, is how I learned it. I’ve also come to understand over time that this is not something to be afraid of, as many books often hint to. I think this is something to embrace. It presents the best risk vs reward opportunities of any other setup I know: [Read more…]

[Options] Using Vertical Spreads to Manage Long Call Positions, Part 2. #BallersOnly

October 17, 2019 by Sean McLaughlin

Warning: This aggressive strategy is only for those who are comfortable with risk and want to Bro Down 😉

In a previous post, I discussed using Vertical Spreads to roll long in-the-money calls up to protect profits while not giving up the dream of higher prices. Any time I’m holding long calls that are way in-the-money, this is a viable option to help me take money off the table — freeing it up to be redeployed elsewhere — but still leaves me a chance to participate if the stock continues moving higher (in the off-chance I didn’t perfectly call the top /sarcasm).

I promised an aggressive cousin to this strategy and here it goes… [Read more…]

[Chart of the Week] Bitcoin Is NOT In An Uptrend

October 16, 2019 by JC

Remember Crypto Currencies? The conversations over Thanksgiving dinners in 2017 were really something. It feels like just yesterday we were still feeling the euphoria of the Crypto Craze.

So now what? What’s happened since the epic 80%+ crash that destroyed the hopes and dreams of the greedy fools that fell for the ‘get rich quick’ appeal of the “new currency” (that wasn’t really new at all)? Where is Bitcoin today? [Read more…]

All Star Charts Research Explained – We Use Technical Analysis To Help Investors Around The World

October 16, 2019 by JC

Technical Analysis is the study of the behavior of the market, and therefore its participants. Investors from all over the world come to us for help identifying trends in stocks, bonds, commodities and currency markets. Both Individual investors and Professionals use All Star Charts for trade ideas, global macro analysis, sector rotation work, momentum, relative strength and important price levels for risk management.

When we have to be buying stocks, I’ll be there talking about it. When we want to be more conservative and raise cash, I’ll be there even louder! I’m fortunate that I’m friends with a lot of the best Technical Analysts in the world. Getting to chat with them regularly makes me a better investor, it keeps me open minded, and most importantly, it keeps me humble.

My friends are really really smart. I don’t pretend to be as smart as some of them. My expertise is in bringing it all together and trying to solve the puzzle as best as I can. I’m lucky that I get to do what I love every day. [Read more…]

Semiconductors Breaking Out Is NOT Bearish For Stocks

October 15, 2019 by JC

I want to make something perfectly clear: Semiconductors breaking out of a 6 month base to new all-time highs is historically not a characteristic of a downtrend for semi’s, tech, or US Stocks as an asset class. These are facts. As go Chip stocks, so goes Tech. And in case you forgot, Technology is a quarter of the entire S&P500.

Feel free to argue against me on this. You’ll lose. Semiconductors going up is NOT bearish for stocks. In fact, I can think of few things more bullish.

Here is a Monthly Chart of the PHLX Semiconductor Index $SOX breaking out to new all-time highs:

[Read more…]

Video: Is This A Massive Top For The US Stock Market?

October 11, 2019 by JC

In this Episode of Allstarcharts Weekly, Steve and I talk about the underperformance of the S&P500 relative to both Gold and US Treasury Bonds. The big question I think worth asking is whether these are massive distribution patterns in US Stocks on a relative basis, or if these are just consolidations within an ongoing uptrend that has been in place for years already? If you’re in the bear camp / recession coming crowd, then you would expect these tops to complete themselves to the downside. If you think stocks go on to make new all-time highs (I do), then these are not massive distribution patterns but just healthy consolidation instead.
[Read more…]