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Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Why It’s Time To Short Stocks

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I really like the risk vs reward from the short side here.

The divergences and rotation into defensives are finally there.

The Dollar has been strong throughout all of January.

That was the first heads up.

The new highs list peaked in mid-December on both the NYSE and Nasdaq.

So you can argue that we’ve been in a correction already, and that’s it’s just about to get worse.

And then here’s what really did it for me.

It’s the rotation into defensives that is the make or break for this bearish approach to the market: [Read more…]

Why Today is Such a Special Day

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When you wake up knowing that you have a fresh batch of Monthly Candlesticks waiting for you at the end of the day, it’s a great feeling.

Enjoy it.

But I believe it also helps to be grateful.

I think you have to be.

Just think about all of the less fortunate investors around the world who don’t get to appreciate such a feeling.

In some cases, it’s just because they’re lazy and don’t feel like doing the work. It does take all of 15 minutes.

But in most cases, they don’t even know.

They have no idea how much information and perspective their losing out on.

It’s a great arbitrage that I’m happy to celebrate with all of you every month.

This is the cheat code! [Read more…]

Filed Under: ASC

Follow the Aussie’s Next Move

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From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The entire marketplace is fixated on tomorrow’s FOMC meeting.

Will the Fed make its first rate cut in March, or will it be in June?

Who knows.

I enjoy speculating as much as the next guy, but I’m not into guessing on next moves by central bankers.

I prefer to track another market participant with a Ph.D. in economics, Dr. Copper.

And we can’t discuss copper without including the Australian dollar!

[Read more…]

“Only Tech Driving This Market”

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I understand that some people are lazy and don’t like to count.

I get that.

Also, journalists are NOT in the business of telling you the truth. The truth is just a commodity at this point, and that’s no longer a secret. Word’s gotten out. So it’s either gross sensationalism or false information to get you to consume their content.

And then, of course, you have your standard charlatans who need to cherry pick data and manipulate anchor points so that they don’t look as foolish for missing this entire bull market.

So what ends up happening is that if you’re told something enough times, and you haven’t actually done the work, you start to believe it.

“It’s only Tech stocks that are driving this market”

Sound familiar?

But for those of you who actually take the time to look, you know it obviously isn’t true. [Read more…]

The Minor Leaguers (01-29-2024)

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn’t have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players.

The goal is to catch the strongest names while they’re small and have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb the ranks to the big leagues, the returns could be huge.

We’re looking at up to 10x moves just to break into large-cap land!

Let’s dive into this week’s report and see what’s happening in some of the hottest stocks in the Minor Leagues.

[Read more…]

[Options] Back to the Wells

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We got stopped out of a Wells Fargo trade a couple of weeks ago, and it looks like that was the whipsaw it needed to shake weak hands out. And since I was shaken out, I consider myself among the weak hands squad. I’m ok with that.

But given what we’ve seen since we were stopped out, we’re getting back in for another try. This time, with tighter risk management and a longer runway. [Read more…]

When Does This Bull Market End?

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The S&P500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq100 all went out last week at new all-time highs. Again.

We’re now officially in Month #20 of this bull market that began in June of 2022.

We’ve seen some corrections along the way, and my bet is that we see more of them this year.

One could argue that stocks have already been correcting over the past 6 weeks. [Read more…]

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