Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Currency markets refuse to choose a direction.
Up, down, or sideways: None appeal to the major US dollar pairs.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index $DXY is catching toward the upper bounds of its yearlong range.
If the dollar continues to rise, these swing trades will break for our targets…
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.
Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we’ll cover all the action for the two weeks ended March 15, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s a lot of overlap.
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Investors are finally waking up to gold.
Friends and family are blowing up my phone (and this time, it’s not just about baby pics). They’ve noticed gold’s rally to new highs – and they want to know whether to buy physical gold or an ETF — bars or coins.
But silver has yet to enter the conversation…
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It’s got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Metals are working.
Gold is printing new all-time highs. Copper is trading above four bucks. And Palladium…
Well, Palladium has stopped going down.
Considering Palladium’s Commitment of Traders (COT) profile, its tendency to trend with technology stocks, and where it stopped falling…
It’s time to buy!
From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
One of the major themes we’re monitoring closely right now is the Growth vs Value relationship.
While Growth has dominated for the past couple of quarters, the technical setup suggests it may be time for value to take the lead.
The chart below shows the ratio testing a critical area of former resistance from above.
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.
As most of you know, we use various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.
It’s really been working for us!
One way we’re doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn’t just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you’ll notice we’re only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online Retail, Solar, etc.
Then, like any good technician, we filter the list down to those closest to new highs.
This allows the cream of these strong groups to rise to the top and helps streamline our mission to identify technical breakouts in the top-performing stocks.
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Gold is outshining the dollar.
The greenback doesn’t know which way to go, as FX markets offer traders little in the way of breakouts.
Instead of reviewing the chopfest, playing devil’s advocate, and weighing the lack of evidence for a near-term directional bias, let’s turn to a trending market for insight into the dollar.
Spoiler alert: It’s shiny, yellow, and trading at new all-time highs.
