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Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Where Are You Wrong?

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Over many years of doing this I’ve observed a few things.

One of them that stands out is how much more time investors spend focused on how much money they’re going to make, and less time on what the market needs to do to prove them wrong.

You see, I don’t care how high you think the stock goes. I want to know what the market would need to do to prove your thesis invalid.

That’s way more important.

Any idiot can buy a stock that goes up. It’s what you do with the stocks that don’t do what you think they’re going to do that separates the winners from the losers. [Read more…]

Filed Under: ASC

But In Yen Terms….

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If you take the US Dollar out of the equation, it’s a much different story for Gold.

While Gold continues to struggle below its 2011 highs, when priced in other currencies, it’s been consolidating well above those former highs. [Read more…]

Buy In October and Get Yourself Sober

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They love writing about ‘Selling in May and going away’.

Every year, they just can’t get enough of it.

But what about, “Remember to buy in November”?

Historically the best 3 month period of the year for stocks is from November through January.

As my pal Jeff Hirsch likes to say, “Buy in October and Get Yourself Sober”.

Here are all the seasonal cycles for the S&P500. The Green line includes every year since 1950 (1-year Cycle), the Blue line includes every year ending in 1 since 1951 (Decennial Cycle), and in Gray every post-election year since 1953 (Presidential Cycle): [Read more…]

Stocks Won’t Collapse If This Happens

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Now for the risk on developments that we’ve seen in recent weeks. As you can see here Consumer Discretionary stocks are breaking out relative to Consumer Staples.

If there is one cheat code in the stock market, this may be it.

The bottom line is this: if Discretionary is outperforming Staples, shorting stocks is not the best of strategies: [Read more…]

Filed Under: ASC

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