This is the video recording of the August 2018 Conference Call for Members of All Star Options [Read more…]
[Chart of The Week] Dollar Index Makes 1-Year Closing Highs
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
I know the US Dollar isn’t as sexy as Tesla’s Elon Musk tweeting market moving information every few hours or Apple hitting a trillion dollar market-cap, but I have been waiting all summer for a resolution of this range in the Dollar Index and it looks like we might be finally getting it. Whether this move is successful and the Dollar continues higher, or it’s a failed breakout that sends the Euro ripping, there will be significant cross-asset implications that are worth thinking about as this move develops.
[Options] The Right Stock, in the Right Sector, in the Right Market Environment
Eight months of sideways consolidation and an upcoming earnings event next week are setting the table for the potential of significant upside in shares of Nvidia $NVDA.
The semiconductor space is a leading indicator for the technology sector which has been outperforming in both an absolute sense as well as relative to the rest of the stock market. We view $NVDA as a leader among semiconductor stocks and it is only natural that this name should resume it’s trek higher with the market, which we’re still incredibly bullish on.
We’re going to make a bet that next week’s earnings is the catalyst to get $NVDA moving again. [Read more…]
Introducing The Money Game Podcast with Phil Pearlman!
I’m so excited to announce that I’ve started a new podcast with my friend Phil Pearlman! We’re calling it “The Money Game” and we’ll have a new episode out each week. For you guys who are unfamiliar with Phil, he earned a doctorate in clinical psychology and has always been the person I turn to when I have questions about human emotions and cognitive behavior. As a technical analyst, what I’m doing is analyzing the behavior of the market and market participants. So understanding who we are and why we act the way we do is part of that process.
Phil and I used to do weekly youtube videos back in 2013 that he would call “Weekends With Allstarcharts”. Fast forward 5 years later, and with the power of technology, we’re bringing it back as a podcast. [Read more…]
The U.S. Stock Market Is Just Getting Going!
There are many different ways to gauge the strength of the stock market. One of the most valuable is in the Russell3000, which represents approximately 98% of all investable assets in the U.S. equities market. This week, the value of that index was able to surpass its former high value from January. This comes after the Russell Small-cap Index and Russell-Micro-cap Index had already broken out in May.
The thesis here is that we’re just now starting a new leg higher for U.S. stocks. The Russell3000 Index is in a similar situation today as Technology was earlier this year. The risk was very well-defined and the upside was exponentially greater. The market implications were also incredibly important. The Tech stock charts at the time suggested buying them all year and that has, in turn, given us greater confidence in being long the market overall. This Russell3000 situation today is the same in a lot of ways. [Read more…]
I’m Coming To Toronto On August 23rd!
On Thursday August 23rd I will be putting on a presentation at the Toronto CFA Society at 4:15PM. This is a free event where I will be discussing the current market environment, walking through strategy and talking about how we find individual investing ideas. We will also save time for Q&A at the end because I really enjoy the back and forth. We’ll find a local bar afterwards and continue the conversation.
This event is free for everyone but I’m told that space is limited so lock in your seat right away! Here are the registration details: [Read more…]
Berkshire Hathaway Breaks Out Leading U.S. Stocks Higher
Life isn’t just about Tesla gossip and Apple at a trillion. There is plenty of “less sexy” market behavior to be paying attention to right now that should have serious implications for the overall market. While boring to some, we have a huge amount of respect for Berkshire Hathaway stock. The breakout we got this week is likely to be the beginning of a 25% move higher which should take this one close to a $700B market cap and we want to be buying! [Read more…]
[Options Premium] Getting Leveraged Long in Agribusiness
The Agribusiness sector might not often be thought of as sexy, but it is threatening to break out above 2008 highs (as measured by the Agribusiness ETF $MOO) and individual names are starting to look pretty compelling. As such, we’re on the hunt for asymmetric reward-to-risk opportunities and we’ve identified one using a little creative leverage. [Read more…]
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