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Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Credit Spreads Are Still Narrowing, Showing Evidence Of Risk Appetite

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The bond market is the biggest market in the world. Hello?

It’s easy to get caught up in the daily noise about some crypto currency or a biotech stock. But these are tiny tiny tiny itsy bitsy little markets. The bond market is a real market, with actual money in it and driven by the largest financial institutions and governments all over the world. If you want real information, the bond market is where to get it.

My friend Larry McDonald, a former Lehman Brothers Bond Trader, was on a recent podcast episode of Technical Analysis Radio talking about exactly this. I encourage you to give it a listen, it’s not long.

Today we’re taking a look at credit spreads. Why? Because we’re always watching them. In November when some people were freaking out about the sell-off in bonds, I tried to explain that it wasn’t about the bonds themselves, but the widening or narrowing of spreads that we were most interested in.   [Read more…]

Watch The Videos Of All The Presentations At Chart Summit 2018

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Chart Summit 2018 is in the books. What another great day of thought out presentations filled with both educational and timely actionable material. We try to make it a point here not to live life in theory, but in reality. I go to too many conferences where all the discussions are purely academic and theoretical. Listen, I understand that this sort of material is ‘evergreen’ and can be watched for a long time afterwards. Sure, and I like some of that too, don’t get me wrong. But we’re here in the market to make money. So we want to see you put your tools to work in the current market environment. What are we buying and what are we selling? Let’s make sure to talk about what’s most important!

This year I invited a group of presenters that I thought each brought a different perspective on the markets. Last year I tried to do something similar, but the 2018 Chart Summit was unique in many ways. Once again, we were broadcasting live from the internet on a Saturday so our audience was all over the world in the comfort of their own houses, flats and dorm rooms. The diversity of attendees was one for the record books, in terms of age, sex, location and occupation.

I could not be more proud of our amazing presenters. This crew hit it out of the park!

Here is the latest Technical Analysis Radio podcast episode where I invited young technician, up-and-comer Tom Bruni, otherwise known as @BruniCharting to come and talk about Chart Summit 2018. We point out our favorite charts, best presentations, biggest surprises and other superlatives from this year’s event.

Also, you can fill out the form below to receive an email with a link to all the videos of the presentations from this year’s Chart Summit: [Read more…]

Monthly Charts Are For Everyone!

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It’s amazing how many people in this world completely ignore monthly charts. I never understood it. It’s an exercise that only needs to be done once a month. It’s not like eating healthy or working out that you have to do it consistently for it to work. This is 30 minutes per month! 30 minutes! 12 times a year. That’s 6 hours of work that will be the most important and productive 6 hours of the entire year. Even if you have a short-term time horizon, all of these shorter-term trends come within the context of a much larger structural picture.

We’re now in February so, of course, we want to talk about what happened in January. I’ll have my friend Jeff Hirsch from Stock Traders Almanac on the podcast this week talking about the seasonal data that is so critical this time of year. But as far as price itself is concerned, we want to rip through all of the monthly charts like we do at the end of every month. I find it really helpful to not just look through the major U.S. and Global Indexes, but also individual sectors, stocks, commodities, currencies and intermarket relationships. We don’t have to look through all 6,000-7000 charts in our universe on monthly timeframes, but I do think a select group of charts should be reviewed consistently. [Read more…]

Podcast Season 1 – Ep 17 – Chart Summit Review With Tom Bruni

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On January 27th, 2018 the 2nd Annual Chart Summit was broadcasting LIVE from the Internet, bringing together an elite group of professional technicians who walked the audience through their process and showed us how to apply their methods in the current market environment. This impressive list of industry experts includes active traders, top Wall St. analysts, wealth managers, swing traders and long-term Investors who each brings a unique perspective on the market.

Hosted by the Founder of Allstarcharts.com, JC Parets, Chart Summit was a FREE event and could be viewed online in the comfort of your home from anywhere in the world. The presentations are intended for investors of all kinds: retail investors with short or long-term time horizons, professional investment advisors, traders, fund managers, analysts, professors, and students. This event was the first of its kind and is still fully committed to providing both educational value and actionable market commentary. If you missed this year’s event, you can still watch the videos of the presentations for FREE by clicking here.

In this episode, I’m joined by Tom Bruni, a long time friend of Allstarcharts.com and former intern. He brings a unique perspective on markets as he is fresh out of college and finishing the process of earning his CPA, CFA and CMT designations. I couldn’t think of anyone else I would rather have to discuss and review this year’s Chart Summit, the presentations, charts and presenters. This is a special podcast episode dedicated to Chart Summit 2018. [Read more…]

My Chart Summit 2018 Presentation: Applying Our Technical Tools To Today’s Markets

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This weekend was our second annual Chart Summit. I still can’t believe all the amazing feedback that continues to come in after this event. Thank you all from the bottom of my heart, both the presenters and the audience members. I didn’t think we could make something even better than the original, but I think based on the responses, we may have actually pulled it off. Wow!

Our video production folks are hard at work putting all the videos together, but I’ve picked out the ones I did so I can share with all of you as soon as possible. The rest will be out this week.

On Monday, I shared the video of the first presentation I gave which was about my process. You can watch that here. In this next video, we take all of those tools and techniques I explained in Video 1 and apply them to the current market environment. Here you will see me walk through the top/down approach using current global and US markets. Then we’ll break things down to the individual sector & industries before finally isolating specific risk vs reward opportunities in individual stocks.

Here is the video in full: [Read more…]

[Chart of the Week] Biotechnology Stocks Break Out!

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It’s hard to ignore a sector that is breaking out to new highs, especially when it’s something that it hasn’t done in a long time. Biotechnology has been a laggard for years. If we’ve wanted to be in healthcare, it certainly has not been in Biotech or Pharma, it’s been Medical Equipment stocks. But it’s 2018 and times are changing.

Today we’re looking at breakouts in both the Equally-weighted Biotechnology Fund $XBI and the Cap-weighted Biotechnology Fund $IBB. Because of the very different composition of the two sector funds, we want to make sure to always watch the behavior of both. The $XBI tells a better story of the sector because it is not dominated by the big names like Amgen or Gilead. But at the same time, we’re not going to just throw out the fact that $AMZN is a huge component of the Discretionary space, for example. So I think it’s important to always keep an eye on both the cap-weighted and equally-weighted sector indexes. [Read more…]

[Premium] Do We Want To Be Buying Biotech Stocks and Which Ones??

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Biotechnology has not been something you’ve been hearing me pound the table about for a long time. I was a huge Biotech bull in 2015, but this has not been something we’ve wanted to be involved with much since. The biggest reason is for the dramatic under-performance. The winning areas have been in Technology, Industrials and Financials, not Biotechnology. If we’ve wanted to be in healthcare at all it’s been in the Medical Device and Equipment stocks, not Pharma or Biotech.

It’s 2018 now and things are changing; sectors are rotating. We’re seeing strength in Energy, Materials and really just Natural Resources in general. Canada and Australia breaking out finally points to strength in that area as well.

Today we’re going to talk specifically about Biotechnology and if/where we want to be involved.  [Read more…]

My Chart Summit 2018 Presentation About Process

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This weekend I hosted the 2nd annual Chart Summit, a virtual technical analysis conference that is free for everyone and anyone to attend. It all started a year ago when I got a bunch of really smart friends together on a Saturday to share their process with the world and their thoughts on the current market environment. It was such a success that we may have accidentally created the greatest Technical Analysis Conference of all time, and it was FREE. You can still watch the videos of those presentations on the original Chart Summit 2017 page.

Our presenters this year didn’t skip a beat. They took it right from where we left off last year and killed it in Chart Summit 2018. I know I personally learned a lot, and based on the emails and comments that seems like a pretty universal feeling among the audience. We had fun and we got different perspectives about market behavior from a variety of approaches. That’s what it was about. I was blown away by some of the presentations. It was awesome!

I didn’t know how much time I would have for some of my own charts because I figured some presenters would go over or we would have some technical difficulties at some point, both neither of those things happened. We were right on schedule the entire time. I don’t think I’ve ever seen that happen at a conference in my life. So I was able to give 2 presentations in the afternoon – one was about my process and how I use tools like momentum, fibonacci, trend recognition and risk management techniques. The second presentation at the end of the day was about the current market environment. I applied all of the tools explained in the first video to today’s market.

Here is the full video of my first presentation where I go over my entire top/down approach: [Read more…]

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