Today we are taking a look at the most important stock sector in the world: Financials. If Financials are leading the stock market higher, it’s hard to be bearish equities as an asset class. The first thing we want to do is start from the top with Financials relative to the rest of the market as well as from a long-term perspective. Then we’ll take a look at some breadth internals and the sub-sectors that fall within the larger spectrum of Financials, like Regional Banks and Insurance. Once we get structural perspective on Financials as a group, then we’ll work our way down to the individual stock level. That’s the top/down approach that we incorporate into every sector in the market and country around the world. [Read more…]
[Premium] Members-Only Conference Call Monday June 19th at 7PM ET
Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.
We’ve been bullish towards US and Global Stocks once again since last month. I still think this is an environment where we need to be buying weakness in stocks, not selling strength. The weight of the evidence is still pointing to an increased amount of risk appetite, not risk aversion. What we’re seeing in the bond market, however, is suggesting interest rates are heading higher. The implications here for assets like Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and the US Dollar is also important to recognize.
I’ll do my best to lay out my weight of the evidence conclusions and walk you step by step with how I got there! This month’s Conference Call will be held on Monday June 19th at 7PM ET. Here are the Registration Details: [Read more…]
[Premium] Everything You Need To Know About Bonds & Interest Rates
The Bond Market is a very misunderstood place. Usually all we hear are complaints. Fed this, Yellen that, something about her books being beige. I don’t know. I can’t keep up anymore. To me the Bond Market is place to find information that we can’t get anywhere else. Even if you don’t trade bonds, you must care about the direction of interest rates. But more importantly it’s the intermarket implications of movements in rates that we’re most concerned about. How is the next 3-6 month direction of interest rates and credit spreads going to affect stocks and commodities? WAs investors we’re obviously interested in all of these things.
Let’s get right into it: [Read more…]
Exciting Announcement: New EDUCATION section added to All Star Charts
Earlier in 2017, I mentioned this was going to be an exciting year filled with new additions to AllStarCharts.com. I’m excited to announce one of the many today with the launching of All Star Charts EDU. This new addition is an educational section of the site dedicated to helping users grow their knowledge of technical analysis. With each one of these tools and principles, I also explain how I personally use it and how it helps me throughout my process. I think this will give you a better understanding as to how I approach the market and can also be used as a resource in the future.
In honor of the All Star Charts EDU launch, this content will be FREE to all users to view for a limited time. We will be adding new content and refining the current sections as time goes on but we would like to give everyone a chance to check out this new feature. [Read more…]
[Premium] Open Letter About The Current Market Environment
In this week’s members-only letter we discuss the following topics:
- New All-time Highs In Major US Indexes
- Transports to Outperform Industrials This Summer?
- London FTSE100, Germany, France, India all Break out to all-time highs
- Technology Leading in U.S.: Targets Updated
- What If Those Are NOT Head & Shoulders Tops in Banks?
- Energy is a ‘No Touch’ or a short
- Industrials Continue to Break Out: Railroads & Airlines
- “Defense” Sectors Are Also Participating To The Upside
What Makes the New 52 Week High List So Important?
This concept of new 52-week highs can be somewhat confusing. I get it. How does it work? If we make new highs and the list of new highs doesn’t confirm, do we short everything? How do we know if and when the internals of the market have confirmed or diverged from whatever the price of the index itself is doing? These days, it seems like people have more questions than answers. So today we’ll take a look at what’s going on and see if we can try to work through it together. [Read more…]
[Premium] Technical Analysis On Monthly Candlesticks
It’s the end of the month so you know what that means: Brand new freshly completed monthly candlesticks for us to review. While I normally use weekly charts to get structural perspective on markets and then daily charts for tactical purposes, the monthly chart review is done at the end of each month to help identify the primary trends around the market. This is for us who want to avoid the day to day noise surrounding politics or the Fed or whatever news story is being sensationalized this week.
Audio: When Is It Time To Buy Gold Again?
Precious metals are in a downtrend. There is no question in my mind that prices have been heading lower, not higher. We had a beautiful counter-trend rally in the first half of last year and we took full advantage of that from the long side. But our upside objectives were hit in the Summer. Since then it’s either been a short or neutral in terms of positioning. At this point we want to continue with this approach and mindset within this group of securities – both the stocks and commodities. Long positions here make little sense to me from any sort of intermediate-term horizon.
Chartered Market Technician and author of The Daily Gold, Jordan Roy-Byrne invited me on his Daily Gold Podcast last week. We discuss both the short-term and longer-term implications of the behavior of the metals market lately. This is the Gold post he references throughout the interview. [Read more…]
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